Estimating the conditional expectations for continuous time stationary processes

Gusztáv Morvai; Benjamin Weiss

Displaying similar documents to “Estimating the conditional expectations for continuous time stationary processes”

Stationary distributions for jump processes with memory

K. Burdzy, T. Kulczycki, R. L. Schilling (2012)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

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We analyze a jump processes $Z$ with a jump measure determined by a “memory” process $S$ . The state space of $(Z, S)$ is the Cartesian product of the unit circle and the real line. We prove that the stationary distribution of $(Z, S)$ is the product of the uniform probability measure and a Gaussian distribution.

On the strong Brillinger-mixing property of $α$ -determinantal point processes and some applications

Lothar Heinrich (2016)

Applications of Mathematics

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First, we derive a representation formula for all cumulant density functions in terms of the non-negative definite kernel function $C (x, y)$ defining an $α$ -determinantal point process (DPP). Assuming absolute integrability of the function $C_{0} (x) = C (o, x)$ , we show that a stationary $α$ -DPP with kernel function $C_{0} (x)$ is “strongly” Brillinger-mixing, implying, among others, that its tail- $σ$ -field is trivial. Second, we use this mixing property to prove rates of normal convergence for shot-noise processes and sketch...

On Paszkiewicz-type criterion for a.e. continuity of processes in $L^{p}$ -spaces

Jakub Olejnik (2010)

Banach Center Publications

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In this paper we consider processes Xₜ with values in $L^{p}$ , p ≥ 1 on subsets T of a unit cube in ℝⁿ satisfying a natural condition of boundedness of increments, i.e. a process has bounded increments if for some non-decreasing f: ℝ₊ → ℝ₊ ||Xₜ-Xₛ||ₚ ≤ f(||t-s||), s,t ∈ T. We give a sufficient criterion for a.s. continuity of all processes with bounded increments on subsets of a given set T. This criterion turns out to be necessary for a wide class of functions f. We use a geometrical Paszkiewicz-type...

Some properties of stationary sets

C. A. Di Prisco, W. Marek

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CONTENTSIntroduction..................................................................51. Derivative of a stationary set...................................72. Stationary degrees ...............................................133. Subsets of $P_{ϰ} (λ)$ ..............................................194. Stationary subsets of $P_{ϰ} (λ)$ .............................255. Superstationary substes of $P_{ϰ} (λ)$ ....................326. End-stationary subsets of $P_{ϰ} (λ)$ ......................34References................................................................37 ...

On reduction of two-parameter prediction problems

J. Friedrich, L. Klotz, M. Riedel (1995)

Studia Mathematica

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We present a general method for the extension of results about linear prediction for q-variate weakly stationary processes on a separable locally compact abelian group $G_{2}$ (whose dual is a Polish space) with known values of the processes on a separable subset $S_{2} \subseteq G_{2}$ to results for weakly stationary processes on $G_{1} \times G_{2}$ with observed values on $G_{1} \times S_{2}$ . In particular, the method is applied to obtain new proofs of some well-known results of Ze Pei Jiang.

Estimation of the density of a determinantal process

Yannick Baraud (2013)

Confluentes Mathematici

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We consider the problem of estimating the density $Π$ of a determinantal process $N$ from the observation of $n$ independent copies of it. We use an aggregation procedure based on robust testing to build our estimator. We establish non-asymptotic risk bounds with respect to the Hellinger loss and deduce, when $n$ goes to infinity, uniform rates of convergence over classes of densities $Π$ of interest.

Lévy processes conditioned on having a large height process

Mathieu Richard (2013)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

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In the present work, we consider spectrally positive Lévy processes $(X_{t}, t \geq 0)$ not drifting to $+ \infty$ and we are interested in conditioning these processes to reach arbitrarily large heights (in the sense of the height process associated with $X$ ) before hitting $0$ . This way we obtain a new conditioning of Lévy processes to stay positive. The (honest) law $ℙ_{x}^{☆}$ of this conditioned process (starting at $x g t; 0$ ) is defined as a Doob $h$ -transform via a martingale. For Lévy processes with infinite variation paths,...

Covariance structure of wide-sense Markov processes of order k ≥ 1

Arkadiusz Kasprzyk, Władysław Szczotka (2006)

Applicationes Mathematicae

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A notion of a wide-sense Markov process $X_{t}$ of order k ≥ 1, $X_{t} \sim W M (k)$ , is introduced as a direct generalization of Doob’s notion of wide-sense Markov process (of order k=1 in our terminology). A base for investigation of the covariance structure of $X_{t}$ is the k-dimensional process $x_{t} = (X_{t - k + 1}, . . ., X_{t})$ . The covariance structure of $X_{t} \sim W M (k)$ is considered in the general case and in the periodic case. In the general case it is shown that $X_{t} \sim W M (k)$ iff $x_{t}$ is a k-dimensional WM(1) process and iff the covariance function of $x_{t}$ has the triangular...

On smoothing properties of transition semigroups associated to a class of SDEs with jumps

Seiichiro Kusuoka, Carlo Marinelli (2014)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

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We prove smoothing properties of nonlocal transition semigroups associated to a class of stochastic differential equations (SDE) in $ℝ^{d}$ driven by additive pure-jump Lévy noise. In particular, we assume that the Lévy process driving the SDE is the sum of a subordinated Wiener process $Y$ (i.e. $Y = W \circ T$ , where $T$ is an increasing pure-jump Lévy process starting at zero and independent of the Wiener process $W$ ) and of an arbitrary Lévy process independent of $Y$ , that the drift coefficient is continuous...

The weak convergence of regenerative processes using some excursion path decompositions

Amaury Lambert, Florian Simatos (2014)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

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We consider regenerative processes with values in some general Polish space. We define their $ε$ -big excursions as excursions $e$ such that $ϕ (e) g t; ε$ , where $ϕ$ is some given functional on the space of excursions which can be thought of as, e.g., the length or the height of $e$ . We establish a general condition that guarantees the convergence of a sequence of regenerative processes involving the convergence of $ε$ -big excursions and of their endpoints, for all $ε$ in a set whose closure contains $0$ . Finally,...

Universal rates for estimating the residual waiting time in an intermittent way

Gusztáv Morvai, Benjamin Weiss (2020)

Kybernetika

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A simple renewal process is a stochastic process ${X_{n}}$ taking values in ${0, 1}$ where the lengths of the runs of $1$ ’s between successive zeros are independent and identically distributed. After observing $X_{0}, X_{1}, ... X_{n}$ one would like to estimate the time remaining until the next occurrence of a zero, and the problem of universal estimators is to do so without prior knowledge of the distribution of the process. We give some universal estimates with rates for the expected time to renewal as well as for the conditional...

An asymptotic test for Quantitative Trait Locus detection in presence of missing genotypes

Charles-Elie Rabier (2014)

Annales de la faculté des sciences de Toulouse Mathématiques

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We consider the likelihood ratio test (LRT) process related to the test of the absence of QTL (a QTL denotes a quantitative trait locus, i.e. a gene with quantitative effect on a trait) on the interval $[0, T]$ representing a chromosome. The originality is in the fact that some genotypes are missing. We give the asymptotic distribution of this LRT process under the null hypothesis that there is no QTL on $[0, T]$ and under local alternatives with a QTL at $t^{☆}$ on $[0, T]$ . We show that the LRT process is asymptotically...

Limit distributions for multitype branching processes of $m$ -ary search trees

Brigitte Chauvin, Quansheng Liu, Nicolas Pouyanne (2014)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

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Let $m \geq 3$ be an integer. The so-calledis a discrete time Markov chain which is very popular in theoretical computer science, modelling famous algorithms used in searching and sorting. This random process satisfies a well-known phase transition: when $m \leq 26$ , the asymptotic behavior of the process is Gaussian, but for $m \geq 27$ it is no longer Gaussian and a limit $W^{D T}$ of a complex-valued martingale arises. In this paper, we consider the multitype branching process which is the continuous time version of...

Spectral condition, hitting times and Nash inequality

Eva Löcherbach, Oleg Loukianov, Dasha Loukianova (2014)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

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Let $X$ be a $μ$ -symmetric Hunt process on a LCCB space $𝙴$ . For an open set $𝙶 \subseteq 𝙴$ , let $τ_{𝙶}$ be the exit time of $X$ from $𝙶$ and $A^{𝙶}$ be the generator of the process killed when it leaves $𝙶$ . Let $r : [0, \infty [\to [0, \infty [$ and $R (t) = \int_{0}^{t} r (s) d s$ . We give necessary and sufficient conditions for $𝔼_{μ} R (τ_{𝙶}) l t; \infty$ in terms of the behavior near the origin of the spectral measure of $- A^{𝙶}$ . When $r (t) = t^{l}$ , $l \geq 0$ , by means of this condition we derive the Nash inequality for the killed process. In the diffusion case this permits to show that the existence of moments of order $l + 1$ for $τ_{𝙶}$ ...

Small positive values for supercritical branching processes in random environment

Vincent Bansaye, Christian Böinghoff (2014)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

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Branching Processes in Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z_{n} : n \geq 0)$ are the generalization of Galton–Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. In the supercritical case, the process survives with positive probability and then almost surely grows geometrically. This paper focuses on rare events when the process takes positive but small values for large times. We describe the asymptotic behavior of $ℙ (1 \leq Z_{n} \leq k | Z_{0} = i)$ , $k, i \in ℕ$ as $n \to \infty$ . More precisely, we characterize...