Unpredictability of the occurrence time of a long laminar period in a model of temporal intermittency
We obtain upper bounds for minimal metrics in the central limit theorem for sequences of independent real-valued random variables.
We consider the standard first passage percolation model in ℤd for d ≥ 2 and we study the maximal flow from the upper half part to the lower half part (respectively from the top to the bottom) of a cylinder whose basis is a hyperrectangle of sidelength proportional to n and whose height is h(n) for a certain height function h. We denote this maximal flow by τn (respectively φn). We emphasize the fact that the cylinder may be tilted. We look at the probability that these flows, rescaled by the surface...
The asymptotics of the probability that the self-intersection local time of a random walk on exceeds its expectation by a large amount is a fascinating subject because of its relation to some models from Statistical Mechanics, to large-deviation theory and variational analysis and because of the variety of the effects that can be observed. However, the proof of the upper bound is notoriously difficult and requires various sophisticated techniques. We survey some heuristics and some recently elaborated...