Errors estimation and the asymptotic distribution of probabilistic estimates.
En el presente trabajo se realiza un estudio de la envoltura convexa de una muestra normal bivariante, analizando la distribución de la pendiente de sus aristas. En base a ello se propone un estimador del coeficiente de correlación de la población, investigando algunas propiedades del mismo.
The minimum variance unbiased, the maximum likelihood, the Bayes, and the naive estimates of the reliability function of a normal distribution are studied. Their asymptotic normality is proved and asymptotic expansions for both the expectation and the mean squared error are derived. The estimates are then compared using the concept of deficiency. In the end an extensive Monte Carlo study of the estimates in small samples is given.
The statistical estimation problem of the normal distribution function and of the density at a point is considered. The traditional unbiased estimators are shown to have Bayes nature and admissibility of related generalized Bayes procedures is proved. Also inadmissibility of the unbiased density estimator is demonstrated.
Sometimes, e.g. in the context of estimating VaR (Value at Risk), underestimating a quantile is less desirable than overestimating it, which suggests measuring the error of estimation by an asymmetric loss function. As a loss function when estimating a parameter θ by an estimator T we take the well known Linex function exp{α(T-θ)} - α(T-θ) - 1. To estimate the quantile of order q ∈ (0,1) of a normal distribution N(μ,σ), we construct an optimal estimator in the class of all estimators of the form...
In modelling a measurement experiment some singularities can occur even if the experiment is quite standard and simple. Such an experiment is described in the paper as a motivation example. It is presented in the papar how to solve these situations under special restrictions on model parameters. The estimability of model parameters is studied and unbiased estimators are given in explicit forms.
The paper deals with an optimal estimation of the quadratic function , where is a known matrix, in the model . The distribution of is assumed to be symmetric and to have a finite fourth moment. An explicit form of the best unbiased estimator is given for a special case of the matrix .
Dispersion of measurement results is an important parameter that enables us not only to characterize not only accuracy of measurement but enables us also to construct confidence regions and to test statistical hypotheses. In nonlinear regression model the estimator of dispersion is influenced by a curvature of the manifold of the mean value of the observation vector. The aim of the paper is to find the way how to determine a tolerable level of this curvature.