O stochastické aproximaci
Simon and Weiss (1975) consider the formulation of the clinical trial as a selection procedure (Bechhofer, Kiefer and Sobel, 1968). The object of the trial is to choose the better treatment with probability ≥ P*, where P* is assigned, when the difference in success probabilities is ≥ Δ*, Δ* also being assigned. They consider a family of single step allocation methods for the reduction of the number of patients given the poorer treatment. Using numerical results, Simon and Weiss conclude that if...
Let be observable, with experimental errors, at integer points only; unknown elsewhere. Iterative nonparametric procedures for finding the zero point of are called procedures of integer stochastic approximation. Three types of such procedures (Derman’s, Mukerjee’s and the authors’) are described and compared. A two-dimensional analogue of the third approach is proposed and investigated; its generalization to higher dimensions is conjectured.
The problem of finding minimax sequential estimation procedures for stochastic processes is considered. It is assumed that in addition to the loss associated with the error of estimation a cost of observing the process is incurred. A class of minimax sequential procedures is derived explicitly for a one-parameter exponential family of stochastic processes. The minimax sequential procedures are presented in some special models, in particular, for estimating a parameter of exponential families of...
In this note we give a proof of the fact that the extremal elements of the set of randomized stopping times are exactly the stopping times.
A fully sequential approach to the estimation of the difference of two population means for distributions belonging to the exponential family of distributions is adopted and compared with the best fixed design. Results on the lower bound for the Bayes risk due to estimation and expected costs are presented and shown to be of first order efficiency. Applications involving the Poisson and exponential distributions with gamma priors as well as the Bernouilli distribution with beta priors are given....