Durchschnittliche Prämienreserve in der Sozialversicherung. II
This paper proposes a general framework to compare the strength of the dependence in survival models, as time changes, i. e. given remaining lifetimes , to compare the dependence of given , and given , where . More precisely, analytical results will be obtained in the case the survival copula of is either Archimedean or a distorted copula. The case of a frailty based model will also be discussed in details.
We model a market with multiple liquidity takers and a single market maker maximizing his discounted consumption while keeping a prescribed probability of bankruptcy. We show that, given this setting, spread and price bias (a difference between the midpoint- and the expected fair price) depend solely on the MM's inventory and his uncertainty concerning the fair price. Tested on ten-second data from ten US electronic markets, our model gives significant results with the price bias decreasing in the...
We investigate the problem of power utility maximization considering risk management and strategy constraints. The aim of this paper is to obtain admissible dynamic portfolio strategies. In case the floor is guaranteed with probability one, we provide two admissible solutions, the option based portfolio insurance in the constrained model, and the alternative method and show that none of the solutions dominate the other. In case the floor is guaranteed partially, we provide one admissible solution,...
We consider an illiquid financial market with different regimes modeled by a continuous time finite-state Markov chain. The investor can trade a stock only at the discrete arrival times of a Cox process with intensity depending on the market regime. Moreover, the risky asset price is subject to liquidity shocks, which change its rate of return and volatility, and induce jumps on its dynamics. In this setting, we study the problem of an economic agent optimizing her expected utility from consumption...
We consider a two-player zero-sum-game in a bounded open domain Ω described as follows: at a point x ∈ Ω, Players I and II play an ε-step tug-of-war game with probability α, and with probability β (α + β = 1), a random point in the ball of radius ε centered at x is chosen. Once the game position reaches the boundary, Player II pays Player I the amount given by a fixed payoff function F. We give a detailed proof of the fact that...
We consider a two-player zero-sum-game in a bounded open domain Ω described as follows: at a point x ∈ Ω, Players I and II play an ε-step tug-of-war game with probability α, and with probability β (α + β = 1), a random point in the ball of radius ε centered at x is chosen. Once the game position reaches the boundary, Player II pays Player I the amount given by a fixed payoff function F. We give a detailed proof of the fact that the value functions of this game satisfy the Dynamic Programming Principle...
We consider a two-player zero-sum-game in a bounded open domain Ω described as follows: at a point x ∈ Ω, Players I and II play an ε-step tug-of-war game with probability α, and with probability β (α + β = 1), a random point in the ball of radius ε centered at x is chosen. Once the game position reaches the boundary, Player II pays Player I the amount given by a fixed payoff function F. We give a detailed proof of the fact that...
In many western economies, the phenomenon of ageing population implies that the large Pay-As-You-Go (PAYGO) social security system will run into several severe financial difficulties. In that direction, this paper constructs a discrete-time stochastic model for a quasi PAYGO social security system to allow the potential accumulation of a special (contingency) fund, which can oscillate so as to absorb fluctuations in the various system parameters involved. The basic difference equation is analytically...
This paper considers dynamic term structure models like the ones appearing in portfolio credit risk modelling or life insurance. We study general forward rate curves driven by infinitely many Brownian motions and an integer-valued random measure, generalizing existing approaches in the literature. A precise characterization of absence of arbitrage in such markets is given in terms of a suitable criterion for no asymptotic free lunch (NAFL). From this, we obtain drift conditions which are equivalent...