Bayesian analysis of the model of hidden periodicities
Bayesian and Frequentist Two-Sample Predictions of the Inverse Weibull Model Based on Generalized Order Statistics
2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 62E16,62F15, 62H12, 62M20.This paper is concerned with the problem of deriving Bayesian prediction bounds for the future observations (two-sample prediction) from the inverse Weibull distribution based on generalized order statistics (GOS). Study the two side interval Bayesian prediction, point prediction under symmetric and asymmetric loss functions and the maximum likelihood (ML) prediction using "plug-in" procedure for future observations from the inverse...
Bayesian and generalized confidence intervals on variance ratio and on the variance component in mixed linear models
The paper deals with construction of exact confidence intervals for the variance component σ₁² and ratio θ of variance components σ₁² and σ² in mixed linear models for the family of normal distributions . This problem essentially depends on algebraic structure of the covariance matrix W (see Gnot and Michalski, 1994, Michalski and Zmyślony, 1996). In the paper we give two classes of bayesian interval estimators depending on a prior distribution on (σ₁², σ²) for: 1) the variance components ratio...
Bayesian approach for joint longitudinal and time-to-event data with survival fraction.
Bayesian Approach to Prediction in the Presence of Outliers for Weibull Distribution.
Bayesian control charts for attributes and the large subgroup size in chart.
Bayesian density estimation.
Bayesian estimation of AR(1) models with uniform innovations
The first-order autoregressive model with uniform innovations is considered. In this paper, we propose a family of BAYES estimators based on a class of prior distributions. We obtain estimators of the parameter which perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator.
Bayesian estimation of mixtures with dynamic transitions and known component parameters
Probabilistic mixtures provide flexible “universal” approximation of probability density functions. Their wide use is enabled by the availability of a range of efficient estimation algorithms. Among them, quasi-Bayesian estimation plays a prominent role as it runs “naturally” in one-pass mode. This is important in on-line applications and/or extensive databases. It even copes with dynamic nature of components forming the mixture. However, the quasi-Bayesian estimation relies on mixing via constant...
Bayesian estimation of number of the questions unfamiliar with the examinee in variant I of probabilistic model of double choice test
Bayesian estimation of parameter in variant I of probabilistic model of double choice test
Bayesian estimation of the 3-parameter inverse Gaussian distribution.
The three-parameter inverse Gaussian distribution is used as an alternative model for the three parameter lognormal, gamma and Weibull distributions for reliability problems. In this paper Bayes estimates of the parameters and reliability function of a three parameter inverse Gaussian distribution are obtained. Posterior variance estimates are compared with the variance of their maximum likelihood counterparts. Numerical examples are given.
Bayesian estimation of the intraclass correlation coefficients in the mixed linear model
The method of determining Bayesian estimators for the special ratios of variance components called the intraclass correlation coefficients is presented. The exact posterior distribution for these ratios of variance components is obtained. The approximate posterior mean of this distribution is also derived. All computations are non-iterative and avoid numerical integration.
Bayesian estimation of the mean holding time in average semi-Markov control processes
We consider semi-Markov control models with Borel state and action spaces, possibly unbounded costs, and holding times with a generalized exponential distribution with unknown mean θ. Assuming that such a distribution does not depend on the state-action pairs, we introduce a Bayesian estimation procedure for θ, which combined with a variant of the vanishing discount factor approach yields average cost optimal policies.
Bayesian image analysis.
Bayesian inference and optimal release times. For two software failure models
We carry out Bayesian inference for the Jelinski-Moranda and Littlewood software failure models given a sample of failure times. Furthermore, we illustrate how to assess the optimal length of an additional pre-release testing period under each of these models. Modern Bayesian computational methods are used to estimate the posterior expected utility of testing for and additional time.
Bayesian inference in group judgement formulation and decision making using qualitative controlled feedback.
This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about group judgements and group decisions using Qualitative Controlled Feedback, from the Bayesian point of view. The qualitative controlled feedback procedure was first introduced by Press (1978), for a single question of interest. The procedure in first reviewed here including the extension of the model to the multiple question case. We develop a model for responses of the panel on each stage. Many questions are treated simultaneously...
Bayesian inference in life tests based on exponential model with outliers when sample size is a random variable.
This paper deals with the problem of prediction of the order statistics in a future sample. Underlying model is exponential. Outlier is present in the sample drawn and the sample size is considered a random variable. Firstly, an outlier of type θδ in the exponential model, is treated. Actual predictive distribution of the order statistics is obtained. As an extension, the two-sample problem is also taken up. Finally, an outlier of type θ + δ is dealt with and now the predictive distribution is expressed...
Bayesian joint modelling of the mean and covariance structures for normal longitudinal data.
We consider the joint modelling of the mean and covariance structures for the general antedependence model, estimating their parameters and the innovation variances in a longitudinal data context. We propose a new and computationally efficient classic estimation method based on the Fisher scoring algorithm to obtain the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters. In addition, we also propose a new and innovative Bayesian methodology based on the Gibbs sampling, properly adapted for longitudinal...
Bayesian like R- and M- estimators of change points
The purpose of this paper is to study Bayesian like R- and M-estimators of change point(s). These estimators have smaller variance than the related argmax type estimators. Confidence intervals for the change point based on the exchangeability arguments are constructed. Finally, theoretical results are illustrated on the real data set.