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Optimal closing of a pair trade with a model containing jumps

Stig Larsson, Carl Lindberg, Marcus Warfheimer (2013)

Applications of Mathematics

A pair trade is a portfolio consisting of a long position in one asset and a short position in another, and it is a widely used investment strategy in the financial industry. Recently, Ekström, Lindberg, and Tysk studied the problem of optimally closing a pair trading strategy when the difference of the two assets is modelled by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. In the present work the model is generalized to also include jumps. More precisely, we assume that the difference between the assets is an...

Optimal sequential multiple hypothesis testing in presence of control variables

Andrey Novikov (2009)

Kybernetika

Suppose that at any stage of a statistical experiment a control variable X that affects the distribution of the observed data Y at this stage can be used. The distribution of Y depends on some unknown parameter θ , and we consider the problem of testing multiple hypotheses H 1 : θ = θ 1 , H 2 : θ = θ 2 , ... , H k : θ = θ k allowing the data to be controlled by X , in the following sequential context. The experiment starts with assigning a value X 1 to the control variable and observing Y 1 as a response. After some analysis, another value X 2 for...

Optimal sequential multiple hypothesis tests

Andrey Novikov (2009)

Kybernetika

This work deals with a general problem of testing multiple hypotheses about the distribution of a discrete-time stochastic process. Both the Bayesian and the conditional settings are considered. The structure of optimal sequential tests is characterized.

Optimal sequential procedures with Bayes decision rules

Andrey Novikov (2010)

Kybernetika

In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does not exceed some given bound. We characterize the form of optimal sequential stopping rules in this problem. In particular, we have a characterization of the form of optimal sequential decision procedures when the Bayesian risk includes both the loss due to incorrect...

Optimal solutions to stochastic differential inclusions

Mariusz Michta (2002)

Applicationes Mathematicae

A martingale problem approach is used first to analyze compactness and continuous dependence of the solution set to stochastic differential inclusions of Ito type with convex integrands on the initial distributions. Next the problem of existence of optimal weak solutions to such inclusions and their dependence on the initial distributions is investigated.

Optimal stopping for Markov Processes

Massimo Lorenzani (1981)

Atti della Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei. Classe di Scienze Fisiche, Matematiche e Naturali. Rendiconti Lincei. Matematica e Applicazioni

In questa nota presentiamo dei nuovi risultati sul problema di tempo d’arresto ottimale per processi di Markov con tempo discreto.

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