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Optimal sequential procedures with Bayes decision rules

Andrey Novikov (2010)

Kybernetika

In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does not exceed some given bound. We characterize the form of optimal sequential stopping rules in this problem. In particular, we have a characterization of the form of optimal sequential decision procedures when the Bayesian risk includes both the loss due to incorrect...

Optimal streams of premiums in multiperiod credibility models

L. Gajek, P. Miś, J. Słowińska (2007)

Applicationes Mathematicae

Optimal arrangement of a stream of insurance premiums for a multiperiod insurance policy is considered. In order to satisfy solvency requirements we assume that a weak Axiom of Solvency is satisfied. Then two optimization problems are solved: finding a stream of net premiums that approximates optimally 1) future claims, or 2) "anticipating premiums". It is shown that the resulting optimal streams of premiums enable differentiating between policyholders much more quickly than one-period credibility...

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