We consider a diffusion process $X$ which is observed at times $i/n$ for $i=0,1,...,n$, each observation being subject to a measurement error. All errors are independent and centered gaussian with known variance ${\rho }_n$. There is an unknown parameter within the diffusion coefficient, to be estimated. In this first paper the case when $X$ is indeed a gaussian martingale is examined: we can prove that the LAN property holds under quite weak smoothness assumptions, with an explicit limiting Fisher information. What is perhaps...

We consider a diffusion process X which is observed at times i/n for i = 0,1,...,n, each observation being subject to a measurement error. All errors are independent and centered Gaussian with known variance pn. There is an unknown parameter within the diffusion coefficient, to be estimated. In this first paper the case when X is indeed a Gaussian martingale is examined: we can prove that the LAN property holds under quite weak smoothness assumptions, with an explicit limiting Fisher information....

We consider a diffusion process $X$ which is observed at times $i/n$ for $i=0,1,...,n$, each observation being subject to a measurement error. All errors are independent and centered gaussian with known variance ${\rho }_n$. There is an unknown parameter to estimate within the diffusion coefficient. In this second paper we construct estimators which are asymptotically optimal when the process $X$ is a gaussian martingale, and we conjecture that they are also optimal in the general case.

We consider a diffusion process X which is observed at times i/n for i = 0,1,...,n, each observation being subject to a measurement error. All errors are independent and centered Gaussian with known variance pn. There is an unknown parameter to estimate within the diffusion coefficient. In this second paper we construct estimators which are asymptotically optimal when the process X is a Gaussian martingale, and we conjecture that they are also optimal in the general case.

The contribution focuses on Bernoulli-like random walks, where the past events significantly affect the walk's future development. The main concern of the paper is therefore the formulation of models describing the dependence of transition probabilities on the process history. Such an impact can be incorporated explicitly and transition probabilities modulated using a few parameters reflecting the current state of the walk as well as the information about the past path. The behavior of proposed...

Let (Xt) be a diffusion on the interval (l,r) and Δn a sequence of positive numbers tending to zero. We define Ji as the integral between iΔn and (i + 1)Δn of Xs. We give an approximation of the law of (J0,...,Jn-1) by means of a Euler scheme expansion for the process (Ji). In some special cases, an approximation by an explicit Gaussian ARMA(1,1) process is obtained. When Δn = n-1 we deduce from this expansion estimators of the diffusion coefficient of X based on (Ji). These estimators are shown...

Given a fixed dependency graph $G$ that describes a Bayesian network of binary variables $X_1,\cdots ,X_n$, our main result is a tight bound on the mutual information $I_c(Y_1,\cdots ,Y_k)={\sum }_{j=1}^{k}H\left(Y_j\right)/c-H(Y_1,\cdots ,Y_k)$ of an observed subset $Y_1,\cdots ,Y_k$ of the variables $X_1,\cdots ,X_n$. Our bound depends on certain quantities that can be computed from the connective structure of the nodes in $G$. Thus it allows to discriminate between different dependency graphs for a probability distribution, as we show from numerical experiments.

El problema de hacer inferencias sobre el cociente de las medias de dos poblaciones normales, conocido como problema de Fieller-Creasy, es de interés particular en las ciencias experimentales que continuamente necesitan hacer comparaciones relativas de diferentes métodos. Desde un punto de vista bayesiano, el problema se reduce a calcular la distribución final de dicho cociente. En este trabajo se determina la distribución final de referencia, esto es, utilizando tan sólo la información proporcionada...