Partial review of adaptive procedures
Performances d'un test d'homogénéité contre une hypothèse de mélange gaussien
Periodic autoregression with exogenous variables and periodic variances
The periodic autoregressive process with non-vanishing mean and with exogenous variables is investigated in the paper. It is assumed that the model has also periodic variances. The statistical analysis is based on the Bayes approach with a vague prior density. Estimators of the parameters and asymptotic tests of hypotheses are derived.
Periodic transformations of the sample average reciprocal value
Permanents, order statistics, outliers, and robustness.
In this paper, we consider order statistics and outlier models, and focus primarily on multiple-outlier models and associated robustness issues. We first synthesise recent developments on order statistics arising from independent and non-identically distributed random variables based primarily on the theory of permanents. We then highlight various applications of these results in evaluating the robustness properties of several linear estimators when multiple outliers are possibly present in the...
Permutation tests for multiple changes
Approximations to the critical values for tests for multiple changes in location models are obtained through permutation tests principle. Theoretical results say that the approximations based on the limit distribution and the permutation distribution of the test statistics behave in the same way in the limit. However, the results of simulation study show that the permutation tests behave considerably better than the corresponding tests based on the asymptotic critical value.
Pivot variables, tests and strong consistency.
Pläne für messende Prüfung bei Berücksichtigung von Â?Vorkenntnissen" über die Verteilung der Mittelwerte.
Posterior odds ratios for selected regression hypotheses.
Bayesian posterior odds ratios for frequently encountered hypotheses about parameters of the normal linear multiple regression model are derived and discussed. For the particular prior distributions utilized, it is found that the posterior odds ratios can be well approximated by functions that are monotonic in usual sampling theory F statistics. Some implications of these finding and the relation of our work to the pioneering work of Jeffreys and others are considered. Tabulations of odd ratios...
Posterior regret Γ-minimax estimation in a normal model with asymmetric loss function
The problem of posterior regret Γ-minimax estimation under LINEX loss function is considered. A general form of posterior regret Γ-minimax estimators is presented and it is applied to a normal model with two classes of priors. A situation when the posterior regret Γ-minimax estimator, the most stable estimator and the conditional Γ-minimax estimator coincide is presented.
POT-based estimation of the renewal function of interoccurrence times of heavy-tailed risks.
Power of A Class of Goodness-of-Fit Tests I
Consider testing whether F = F0 for a continuous cdf on R = (-∞,∞) and for a random sample X1,..., Xn from F. We derive expansions of the associated asymptotic power based on the Cramer-von Mises, Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Kuiper statistics. We provide numerical illustrations using a double-exponential example with a shifted alternative.
Power prior elicitation in Bayesian quantile regression.
Prediction in Orlicz Spaces.
Prediction problems related to a first-order autoregressive process in the presence of outliers
Outliers in a time series often cause problems in fitting a suitable model to the data. Hence predictions based on such models are liable to be erroneous. In this paper we consider a stable first-order autoregressive process and suggest two methods of substituting an outlier by imputed values and then predicting on the basis of it. The asymptotic properties of both the process parameter estimators and the predictors are also studied.
Predictive distribution for polytomous logistic models with nonlinear link functions.
Predictive sample reuse techniques for censored data.
Predictive sample reuse methods usually applied in low structure aparametric paradigms are shown to be useful in certain high structure situations when conjoined with a Bayesian approach. Particular attention is focused on the incomplete data situation for which two alternative sample reuse approaches are devised. The first involves differential weighting and the second a recursive sample reuse algorithm. These are applied to censored exponential survival data. The exponential approach appears to...
Principe d'invariance sur le processus de vraisemblance
Probability distribution of the multivariate nonlinear least squares estimates
Probability distribution of transformed random variables with application to nonlinear features extraction
A method for estimation of probability distribution of transformed random variables is presented. The proposed approach admits an approximation of the transformation of the random variables. The approximate probability density function (pdf) is corrected to obtain a resulting pdf which incorporates a prior knowledge of approximation errors. The corrected pdf is not contaminated by any uncontrollable approximation. The method is applied to pattern recognition. It is shown that class conditional pdf...