A stochastic process cumulating random increments at random moments is studied. We model it as a two-dimensional random point process and study advantages of such an approach. First, a rather general model allowing for the dependence of both components mutually as well as on covariates is formulated, then the case where the increments depend on time is analyzed with the aid of the multiplicative hazard regression model. Special attention is devoted to the problem of prediction of process behaviour....

We deal with the problem of choosing a piecewise constant estimator of a regression function s mapping $𝒳$ into $ℝ$. We consider a non Gaussian regression framework with deterministic design points, and we adopt the non asymptotic approach of model selection via penalization developed by Birgé and Massart. Given a collection of partitions of $𝒳$, with possibly exponential complexity, and the corresponding collection of piecewise constant estimators, we propose a penalized least squares criterion which...

Given an n-sample from some unknown density f on [0,1], it is easy to construct an histogram of the data based on some given partition of [0,1], but not so much is known about an optimal choice of the partition, especially when the data set is not large, even if one restricts to partitions into intervals of equal length. Existing methods are either rules of thumbs or based on asymptotic considerations and often involve some smoothness properties of f. Our purpose in this paper is to give an automatic,...

The asymptotic behavior of global errors of functional estimates plays a key role in hypothesis testing and confidence interval building. Whereas for pointwise errors asymptotic normality often easily follows from standard Central Limit Theorems, global errors asymptotics involve some additional techniques such as strong approximation, martingale theory and Poissonization. We review these techniques in the framework of density estimation from independent identically distributed random variables,...