Model and variable selection procedures for semiparametric time series regression.
Model selection and estimation of a component in additive regression
Let Y ∈ ℝn be a random vector with mean s and covariance matrix σ2PntPn where Pn is some known n × n-matrix. We construct a statistical procedure to estimate s as well as under moment condition on Y or Gaussian hypothesis. Both cases are developed for known or unknown σ2. Our approach is free from any prior assumption on s and is based on non-asymptotic model selection methods. Given some linear spaces collection {Sm, m ∈ ℳ}, we consider, for any m ∈ ℳ, the least-squares estimator ŝm of s in Sm....
Model selection for (auto-)regression with dependent data
In this paper, we study the problem of non parametric estimation of an unknown regression function from dependent data with sub-gaussian errors. As a particular case, we handle the autoregressive framework. For this purpose, we consider a collection of finite dimensional linear spaces (e.g. linear spaces spanned by wavelets or piecewise polynomials on a possibly irregular grid) and we estimate the regression function by a least-squares estimator built on a data driven selected linear space among...
Model selection for (auto-)regression with dependent data
In this paper, we study the problem of non parametric estimation of an unknown regression function from dependent data with sub-Gaussian errors. As a particular case, we handle the autoregressive framework. For this purpose, we consider a collection of finite dimensional linear spaces (e.g. linear spaces spanned by wavelets or piecewise polynomials on a possibly irregular grid) and we estimate the regression function by a least-squares estimator built on a data driven selected linear space among...
Model selection for regression on a random design
We consider the problem of estimating an unknown regression function when the design is random with values in . Our estimation procedure is based on model selection and does not rely on any prior information on the target function. We start with a collection of linear functional spaces and build, on a data selected space among this collection, the least-squares estimator. We study the performance of an estimator which is obtained by modifying this least-squares estimator on a set of small probability....
Model selection for regression on a random design
We consider the problem of estimating an unknown regression function when the design is random with values in . Our estimation procedure is based on model selection and does not rely on any prior information on the target function. We start with a collection of linear functional spaces and build, on a data selected space among this collection, the least-squares estimator. We study the performance of an estimator which is obtained by modifying this least-squares estimator on a set of small...
Modelling consumer credit risk via survival analysis.