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Stability estimating in optimal sequential hypotheses testing

Evgueni I. Gordienko, Andrey Novikov, Elena Zaitseva (2009)

Kybernetika

We study the stability of the classical optimal sequential probability ratio test based on independent identically distributed observations X 1 , X 2 , when testing two simple hypotheses about their common density f : f = f 0 versus f = f 1 . As a functional to be minimized, it is used a weighted sum of the average (under f 0 ) sample number and the two types error probabilities. We prove that the problem is reduced to stopping time optimization for a ratio process generated by X 1 , X 2 , with the density f 0 . For τ * being the corresponding...

Statistical Inference about the Drift Parameter in Stochastic Processes

David Stibůrek (2013)

Acta Universitatis Palackianae Olomucensis. Facultas Rerum Naturalium. Mathematica

In statistical inference on the drift parameter a in the Wiener process with a constant drift Y t = a t + W t there is a large number of options how to do it. We may, for example, base this inference on the properties of the standard normal distribution applied to the differences between the observed values of the process at discrete times. Although such methods are very simple, it turns out that more appropriate is to use the sequential methods. For the hypotheses testing about the drift parameter it is more...

Stochastic approximations of the solution of a full Boltzmann equation with small initial data

Sylvie Meleard (2010)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

This paper gives an approximation of the solution of the Boltzmann equation by stochastic interacting particle systems in a case of cut-off collision operator and small initial data. In this case, following the ideas of Mischler and Perthame, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution of this equation and also the existence and uniqueness of the solution of the associated nonlinear martingale problem. 
Then, we first delocalize the interaction by considering a mollified Boltzmann...

Sur quelques algorithmes récursifs pour les probabilités numériques

Gilles Pagès (2001)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

The aim of this paper is to take an in-depth look at the long time behaviour of some continuous time markovian dynamical systems and at its numerical analysis. We first propose a short overview of the main ergodicity properties of time continuous homogeneous Markov processes (stability, positive recurrence). The basic tool is a Lyapunov function. Then, we investigate if these properties still hold for the time discretization of these processes, either with constant or decreasing step (ODE method...

Sur quelques algorithmes récursifs pour les probabilités numériques

Gilles Pagès (2010)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

The aim of this paper is to take an in-depth look at the long time behaviour of some continuous time Markovian dynamical systems and at its numerical analysis. We first propose a short overview of the main ergodicity properties of time continuous homogeneous Markov processes (stability, positive recurrence). The basic tool is a Lyapunov function. Then, we investigate if these properties still hold for the time discretization of these processes, either with constant or decreasing step (ODE...

The Bayes choice of an experiment in estimating a success probability

Alicja Jokiel-Rokita, Ryszard Magiera (2002)

Applicationes Mathematicae

A Bayesian method of estimation of a success probability p is considered in the case when two experiments are available: individual Bernoulli (p) trials-the p-experiment-or products of r individual Bernoulli (p) trials-the p r -experiment. This problem has its roots in reliability, where one can test either single components or a system of r identical components. One of the problems considered is to find the degree r̃ of the p r ̃ -experiment and the size m̃ of the p-experiment such that the Bayes estimator...

The Bayes sequential estimation of a normal mean from delayed observations

Alicja Jokiel-Rokita (2006)

Applicationes Mathematicae

The problem of estimating the mean of a normal distribution is considered in the special case when the data arrive at random times. Certain classes of Bayes sequential estimation procedures are derived under LINEX and reflected normal loss function and with the observation cost determined by a function of the stopping time and the number of observations up to this time.

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