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Drought models based on Burr XII variables

Saralees Nadarajah, B. M. Golam Kibria (2006)

Applicationes Mathematicae

Burr distributions are some of the most versatile distributions in statistics. In this paper, a drought application is described by deriving the exact distributions of U = XY and W = X/(X+Y) when X and Y are independent Burr XII random variables. Drought data from the State of Nebraska are used.

Dynamic credibility with outliers and missing observations

Tomáš Cipra (1996)

Applications of Mathematics

In actuarial practice the credibility models must face the problem of outliers and missing observations. If using the M -estimation principle from robust statistics in combination with Kalman filtering one obtains the solution of this problem that is acceptable in the numerical framework of the practical actuarial credibility. The credibility models are classified as static and dynamic in this paper and the shrinkage is used for the final ratemaking.

Dynamic model of market with uninformed market maker

Martin Šmíd, Miloš Kopa (2017)

Kybernetika

We model a market with multiple liquidity takers and a single market maker maximizing his discounted consumption while keeping a prescribed probability of bankruptcy. We show that, given this setting, spread and price bias (a difference between the midpoint- and the expected fair price) depend solely on the MM's inventory and his uncertainty concerning the fair price. Tested on ten-second data from ten US electronic markets, our model gives significant results with the price bias decreasing in the...

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