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A recursive robust Bayesian estimation in partially observed financial market

Jianhui Huang (2007)

Applicationes Mathematicae

I propose a nonlinear Bayesian methodology to estimate the latent states which are partially observed in financial market. The distinguishable character of my methodology is that the recursive Bayesian estimation can be represented by some deterministic partial differential equation (PDE) (or evolution equation in the general case) parameterized by the underlying observation path. Unlike the traditional stochastic filtering equation, this dynamical representation is continuously dependent on the...

A sensitivity analysis for causal parameters in structural proportional hazards models.

Els Goetghebeur, Tom Loeys (2003)

SORT

Deviations from assigned treatment occur often in clinical trials. In such a setting, the traditional intent-to-treat analysis does not measure biological efficacy but rather programmatic effectiveness. For all-or-nothing compliance situation, Loeys and Goetghebeur (2003) recently proposed a Structural Proportional Hazards method. It allows for casual estimation in the complier subpopulation provided the exclusion restriction holds: randomization per se has no effect unless exposure has changed....

Adaptive biased-coin designs for clinical trials with several treatments

Anthony C. Atkinson (2004)

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

Adaptive designs are used in phase III clinical trials for skewing the allocation pattern towards the better treatments. We use optimum design theory to provide a skewed biased-coin procedure for sequential designs with continuous responses. The skewed designs are used to provide adaptive designs, the performance of which is studied numerically for designs with three treatments. Important properties are loss and the proportion of allocation to inferior treatments. Regularisation to provide consistent...

Addressing the problem of lack of representativeness on syndromic surveillance schemes

Isabel Natário, M. Lucília Carvalho (2009)

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

A major concern with some contagious diseases has recently led to an enormous effort to monitor population health status by several different means. This work presents a modeling approach to overcome this poor data characteristic, allowing its use for the estimation of the true population disease picture. We use a state space model, where we run two processes in parallel - a process describing the non observable states of the population concerning the presence/absence of disease,...

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