Completing linear differential games by state dependent strategies
Social networks representing one or more relationships between individuals and one or more categorical characteristics of the individuals exhibit both structure and composition. Probabilistic models of such networks can be used for analyzing the interrelations between structural and compositional variables, for instance in order to find how structure can be explained by composition or how structure explains composition. Different models are discussed and different statistical methods are employed...
2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60K10, 62P05.The compound Poisson risk models are widely used in practice. In this paper the counting process in the insurance risk model is a compound Poisson process. The model is called Compound Compound Poisson Risk Model. Some basic properties and ruin probability are given. We analyze the model under the proportional reinsurance. The optimal retention level and the corresponding adjustment coefficient are obtained. The particular case of the Pólya-Aeppli...
To obtain a robust version of exponential and Holt-Winters smoothing the idea of -estimation can be used. The difficulty is the formulation of an easy-to-use recursive formula for its computation. A first attempt was made by Cipra (Robust exponential smoothing, J. Forecast. 11 (1992), 57–69). The recursive formulation presented there, however, is unstable. In this paper, a new recursive computing scheme is proposed. A simulation study illustrates that the new recursions result in smaller forecast...
We deal with numerical computation of the nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) of Black–Scholes type which incorporate the effect of transaction costs. Our proposed technique surmounts the difficulty of infinite domains and unbounded values of the solutions. Numerical implementation shows the validity of our scheme.
In this paper we present the extraproximal method for computing the Stackelberg/Nash equilibria in a class of ergodic controlled finite Markov chains games. We exemplify the original game formulation in terms of coupled nonlinear programming problems implementing the Lagrange principle. In addition, Tikhonov's regularization method is employed to ensure the convergence of the cost-functions to a Stackelberg/Nash equilibrium point. Then, we transform the problem into a system of equations in the...
Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) whose solutions are probability-measure-valued processes are considered. Measure-valued processes of this type arise naturally as de Finetti measures of infinite exchangeable systems of particles and as the solutions for filtering problems. In particular, we consider a model of asset price determination by an infinite collection of competing traders. Each trader’s valuations of the assets are given by the solution of a stochastic differential equation,...
Condorcet believed that the purpose of voting is to make a choice that is “best” for society. According to his view, there is one choice that is objectively best, another that is second-best, and so forth. Unfortunately, voters sometimes make mistakes ; they misperceive what is best. In designing a voting rule, therefore, the objective should be to choose the alternative that is most likely to be best. Condorcet solved this problem using a form of maximum likelihood estimation. The procedure that...