A continuous-time model for the limit order book dynamics is considered. The set of outstanding limit orders is modeled as a pair of random counting measures and the limiting distribution of this pair of measure-valued processes is obtained under suitable conditions on the model parameters. The limiting behavior of the bid-ask spread and the midpoint of the bid-ask interval are also characterized.
The EGARCH model of Nelson [29] is one of the most successful ARCH models which may exhibit characteristic asymmetries of financial time series, as well as long memory. The paper studies the covariance structure and dependence properties of the EGARCH and some related stochastic volatility models. We show that the large time behavior of the covariance of powers of the (observed) ARCH process is determined by the behavior of the covariance of the (linear) log-volatility process; in particular, a...
The EGARCH model of Nelson [29] is one of the most successful ARCH models which may exhibit characteristic asymmetries of financial time series, as well as long memory. The paper studies the covariance structure and dependence properties of the EGARCH and some related stochastic volatility models. We show that the large time behavior of the covariance of powers of the (observed) ARCH process is determined by the behavior of the covariance of the (linear) log-volatility process; in particular,...
Mathematical models for financial asset prices which include, for example, stochastic volatility or jumps are incomplete in that derivative securities are generally not replicable by trading in the underlying. In earlier work [Proc. R. Soc. London, 2004], the first author provided a geometric condition under which trading in the underlying and a finite number of vanilla options completes the market. We complement this result in several ways. First, we show that the geometric condition is not necessary...
The paper studies optimal portfolio selection for discrete time market models in mean-variance and goal achieving setting. The optimal strategies are obtained for models with an observed process that causes serial correlations of price changes. The optimal strategies are found to be myopic for the goal-achieving problem and quasi-myopic for the mean variance portfolio.
The standard Merton-Black-Scholes formula for European Option pricing serves only as approximation to real values of options. More advanced extensions include applications of Lévy processes and are based on characteristic functions, which are more convenient to use than the corresponding probability distributions. We found one of the Lewis (2001) general theoretical formulae for option pricing based on characteristic functions particularly suitable for a statistical approach to option pricing. By...
Random processes with convenient properties are often employed to model observed data, particularly, coming from economy and finance. We will focus our interest in random processes given implicitly as a solution of a functional equation. For example, random processes AR, ARMA, ARCH, GARCH are belonging in this wide class. Their common feature can be expressed by requirement that stated random process together with incoming innovations must fulfill a functional equation. Functional dependence is...
We derive a model based on the structure of dependence between a Brownian motion and its reflection according to a barrier. The structure of dependence presents two states of correlation: one of comonotonicity with a positive correlation and one of countermonotonicity with a negative correlation. This model of dependence between two Brownian motions B1 and B2 allows for the value of [...] to be higher than 1/2 when x is close to 0, which is not the case when the dependence is modeled by a constant...
In this paper we are interested in term structure models for pricing zero coupon bonds under rapidly oscillating stochastic volatility. We analyze solutions to the generalized Cox–Ingersoll–Ross two factors model describing clustering of interest rate volatilities. The main goal is to derive an asymptotic expansion of the bond price with respect to a singular parameter representing the fast scale for the stochastic volatility process. We derive the second order asymptotic expansion of a solution...
A solution to a model of optimal consumption with partial observation considered in [LOS] is presented. The approach is based on the Jensen inequality and does not require application of the filtering equation.
We investigate the properties of a rating migration process assuming that it is given by subordination of a discrete time Markov chain and a Cox process. The problem of pricing of defaultable bonds with fractional recovery of par value with rating migration and credit default swaps is considered. As an example of applications of our results, we give an explicit solution to the pricing problem in a model with short rate and intensity processes given by the solution of a two-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck...
The problem of quantile hedging for basket derivatives in the Black-Scholes model with correlation is considered. Explicit formulas for the probability maximizing function and the cost reduction function are derived. Applicability of the results to the widely traded derivatives like digital, quantos, outperformance and spread options is shown.
Motivated by classical considerations from risk theory, we investigate boundary crossing problems for refracted Lévy processes. The latter is a Lévy process whose dynamics change by subtracting off a fixed linear drift (of suitable size) whenever the aggregate process is above a pre-specified level. More formally, whenever it exists, a refracted Lévy process is described by the unique strong solution to the stochastic differential equation dUt=−δ1{Ut>b} dt+dXt, where X={Xt : t≥0} is a Lévy...