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Estimation and control in finite Markov decision processes with the average reward criterion

Rolando Cavazos-Cadena, Raúl Montes-de-Oca (2004)

Applicationes Mathematicae

This work concerns Markov decision chains with finite state and action sets. The transition law satisfies the simultaneous Doeblin condition but is unknown to the controller, and the problem of determining an optimal adaptive policy with respect to the average reward criterion is addressed. A subset of policies is identified so that, when the system evolves under a policy in that class, the frequency estimators of the transition law are consistent on an essential set of admissible state-action pairs,...

Estimation for heavy tailed moving average process

Hakim Ouadjed, Tawfiq Fawzi Mami (2018)

Kybernetika

In this paper, we propose two estimators for a heavy tailed MA(1) process. The first is a semi parametric estimator designed for MA(1) driven by positive-value stable variables innovations. We study its asymptotic normality and finite sample performance. We compare the behavior of this estimator in which we use the Hill estimator for the extreme index and the estimator in which we use the t-Hill in order to examine its robustness. The second estimator is for MA(1) driven by stable variables innovations...

Estimation for misspecified ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations

Masayuki Uchida, Nakahiro Yoshida (2011)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

The joint estimation of both drift and diffusion coefficient parameters is treated under the situation where the data are discretely observed from an ergodic diffusion process and where the statistical model may or may not include the true diffusion process. We consider the minimum contrast estimator, which is equivalent to the maximum likelihood type estimator, obtained from the contrast function based on a locally Gaussian approximation of the transition density. The asymptotic normality of the...

Estimation for misspecified ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations

Masayuki Uchida, Nakahiro Yoshida (2012)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

The joint estimation of both drift and diffusion coefficient parameters is treated under the situation where the data are discretely observed from an ergodic diffusion process and where the statistical model may or may not include the true diffusion process. We consider the minimum contrast estimator, which is equivalent to the maximum likelihood type estimator, obtained from the contrast function based on a locally Gaussian approximation of the transition density. The asymptotic normality of...

Estimation in models driven by fractional brownian motion

Corinne Berzin, José R. León (2008)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

Let {bH(t), t∈ℝ} be the fractional brownian motion with parameter 0<H<1. When 1/2<H, we consider diffusion equations of the type X(t)=c+∫0tσ(X(u)) dbH(u)+∫0tμ(X(u)) du. In different particular models where σ(x)=σ or σ(x)=σ  x and μ(x)=μ or μ(x)=μ  x, we propose a central limit theorem for estimators of H and of σ based on regression methods. Then we give tests of the hypothesis on σ for these models. We also consider functional estimation on σ(⋅)...

Estimation of a Regression Function on a Point Process and its Application to Financial Ruin Risk Forecast

Dia, Galaye, Kone, Abdoulaye (2009)

Serdica Mathematical Journal

2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary 60G55; secondary 60G25.We estimate a regression function on a point process by the Tukey regressogram method in a general setting and we give an application in the case of a Risk Process. We show among other things that, in classical Poisson model with parameter r, if W is the amount of the claim with finite espectation E(W) = m, Sn (resp. Rn) the accumulated interval waiting time for successive claims (resp. the aggregate claims amount) up to the...

Estimation of anisotropic gaussian fields through Radon transform

Hermine Biermé, Frédéric Richard (2008)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

We estimate the anisotropic index of an anisotropic fractional brownian field. For all directions, we give a convergent estimator of the value of the anisotropic index in this direction, based on generalized quadratic variations. We also prove a central limit theorem. First we present a result of identification that relies on the asymptotic behavior of the spectral density of a process. Then, we define Radon transforms of the anisotropic fractional brownian field and prove that these processes admit...

Estimation of anisotropic Gaussian fields through Radon transform

Hermine Biermé, Frédéric Richard (2007)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

We estimate the anisotropic index of an anisotropic fractional Brownian field. For all directions, we give a convergent estimator of the value of the anisotropic index in this direction, based on generalized quadratic variations. We also prove a central limit theorem. First we present a result of identification that relies on the asymptotic behavior of the spectral density of a process. Then, we define Radon transforms of the anisotropic fractional Brownian field and prove that these processes...

Estimation of intersection intensity in a Poisson process of segments

Tomáš Mrkvička (2007)

Commentationes Mathematicae Universitatis Carolinae

The minimum variance unbiased estimator of the intensity of intersections is found for stationary Poisson process of segments with parameterized distribution of primary grain with known and unknown parameters. The minimum variance unbiased estimators are compared with commonly used estimators.

Estimation of parameters of a spherical invariant stable distribution

Piotr Szymański (2012)

Applicationes Mathematicae

This paper concerns the estimation of the parameters that describe spherical invariant stable distributions: the index α ∈ (0,2] and the scale parameter σ >0. We present a kind of moment estimators derived from specially transformed original data.

Estimation of reduced Palm distributions by random methods for Cox processes with unknown probability law

Emmanuelle Crétois (1995)

Applicationes Mathematicae

Let N i , i ≥ 1, be i.i.d. observable Cox processes on [a,b] directed by random measures Mi. Assume that the probability law of the Mi is completely unknown. Random techniques are developed (we use data from the processes N 1 ,..., N n to construct a partition of [a,b] whose extremities are random) to estimate L(μ,g) = E(exp(-(N(g) - μ(g))) | N - μ ≥ 0).

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