Dynamic analysis of a unified multivariate counting process and its asymptotic behavior.
Dynamic credibility with outliers and missing observations
In actuarial practice the credibility models must face the problem of outliers and missing observations. If using the -estimation principle from robust statistics in combination with Kalman filtering one obtains the solution of this problem that is acceptable in the numerical framework of the practical actuarial credibility. The credibility models are classified as static and dynamic in this paper and the shrinkage is used for the final ratemaking.
Dynamic monetary risk measures for bounded discrete-time processes.
Dynamic term structure modelling with default and mortality risk: new results on existence and monotonicity
This paper considers dynamic term structure models like the ones appearing in portfolio credit risk modelling or life insurance. We study general forward rate curves driven by infinitely many Brownian motions and an integer-valued random measure, generalizing existing approaches in the literature. A precise characterization of absence of arbitrage in such markets is given in terms of a suitable criterion for no asymptotic free lunch (NAFL). From this, we obtain drift conditions which are equivalent...
Dynamical attraction to stable processes
We apply dynamical ideas within probability theory, proving an almost-sure invariance principle in log density for stable processes. The familiar scaling property (self-similarity) of the stable process has a stronger expression, that the scaling flow on Skorokhod path space is a Bernoulli flow. We prove that typical paths of a random walk with i.i.d. increments in the domain of attraction of a stable law can be paired with paths of a stable process so that, after applying a non-random regularly...
Ecuaciones de la descomposición modal de procesos ARMA.
Los procesos estocásticos estacionarios, autorregresivos y de medias móviles (ARMA), han sido estudiados en diversos ámbitos durante las dos últimas décadas (p.e. Brockwell-Davis, 1987), y se han utilizado con éxito en aplicaciones muy diversas.Uno de los aspectos al que parece que no se ha prestado demasiada atención es la descomposición aditiva de estos procesos, asociando cada componente a un polo de la función de transferencia del modelo ARMA. Esta descomposición aditiva, que llamaremos descomposición...
Edge-reinforced random walk, vertex-reinforced jump process and the supersymmetric hyperbolic sigma model
Edge-reinforced random walk (ERRW), introduced by Coppersmith and Diaconis in 1986 [8], is a random process which takes values in the vertex set of a graph and is more likely to cross edges it has visited before. We show that it can be represented in terms of a vertex-reinforced jump process (VRJP) with independent gamma conductances; the VRJP was conceived by Werner and first studied by Davis and Volkov [10, 11], and is a continuous-time process favouring sites with more local time. We calculate,...
Efficiency of some algorithms for prediction in finite stationary time series
Important characteristics of any algorithm are its complexity and speed in real calculations. From this point of view, we analyze some algorithms for prediction in finite stationary time series. First, we review results developed by P. Bondon [1] and then, we derive the complexities of Levinson and a new algorithm. It is shown that the time needed for real calculations of predictions is proportional to the theoretical complexity of the algorithm. Some practical recommendations for the selection...
Efficient measurement of higher-order statistics of stochastic processes
This paper is devoted to analysis of block multi-indexed higher-order covariance matrices, which can be used for the least-squares estimation problem. The formulation of linear and nonlinear least squares estimation problems is proposed, showing that their statements and solutions lead to generalized `normal equations', employing covariance matrices of the underlying processes. Then, we provide a class of efficient algorithms to estimate higher-order statistics (generalized multi-indexed covariance...
Eigenvalues of GUE minors.
Ein massentheoretisches Marginalproblem.
Eine Invarianzeigenschaft für Startverteilungen einer Klasse stochastischer Prozesse.
Einige Bemerkungen zu den Gauss-Verteilungen auf lokalkompakten Abelschen Gruppen.
Elliptic gaussian random processes.
We study the Gaussian random fields indexed by Rd whose covariance is defined in all generality as the parametrix of an elliptic pseudo-differential operator with minimal regularity assumption on the symbol. We construct new wavelet bases adapted to these operators; the decomposition of the field in this corresponding basis yields its iterated logarithm law and its uniform modulus of continuity. We also characterize the local scalings of the fields in terms of the properties of the principal symbol...
Elliptic self-similar stochastic processes.
Let M be a random measure and L be an elliptic pseudo-differential operator on Rd. We study the solution of the stochastic problem LX = M, X(O) = O when some homogeneity and integrability conditions are assumed. If M is a Gaussian measure the process X belongs to the class of Elliptic Gaussian Processes which has already been studied. Here the law of M is not necessarily Gaussian. We characterize the solutions X which are self-similar and with stationary increments in terms of the driving mcasure...
Embedding of random vectors into continuous martingales
Let E be a real, separable Banach space and denote by the space of all E-valued random vectors defined on the probability space Ω. The following result is proved. There exists an extension of Ω, and a filtration on , such that for every there is an E-valued, continuous -martingale in which X is embedded in the sense that a.s. for an a.s. finite stopping time τ. For E = ℝ this gives a Skorokhod embedding for all , and for general E this leads to a representation of random vectors as...
Embeddings in brownian motion
Empilements de cercles et théorème de Liouville (d'après T. Dubejko)
En cherchant une caractérisation variationnelle des martingales
En cherchant une définition naturelle des intégrales stochastiques optionnelles