Decision making in an incompletely known stochastic system, I
Decision Theory Based on Non-Additive Measures
Decision Theory for Continuous Observations: Minimax Solutions.
Decision-making for long memory data in technical-economic design, fractals and decision area bubbles
Economic and management theories are very often based in their applications on the perception of homogeneity of the application space. The purpose of this article is to query such a conviction and indicate new possible directions of discipline development. The article deals with symbiosis of process and his steering model as a process of management. It is possible that in relative near future it will be necessary to accept approaches and changes in interpretations of decision-making. Applications...
Design Considerations for Neyman-Pearson and Wald Hypothesis Testing.
Detecting abrupt changes in random fields
This paper is devoted to the study of some asymptotic properties of a -estimator in a framework of detection of abrupt changes in random field’s distribution. This class of problems includes e.g. recovery of sets. It involves various techniques, including -estimation method, concentration inequalities, maximal inequalities for dependent random variables and -mixing. Penalization of the criterion function when the size of the true model is unknown is performed. All the results apply under mild,...
Detecting abrupt changes in random fields
This paper is devoted to the study of some asymptotic properties of a M-estimator in a framework of detection of abrupt changes in random field's distribution. This class of problems includes e.g. recovery of sets. It involves various techniques, including M-estimation method, concentration inequalities, maximal inequalities for dependent random variables and ϕ-mixing. Penalization of the criterion function when the size of the true model is unknown is performed. All the results apply under...
Determinación de reglas de decisión mediante redes de neuronas artificiales
Deviations from total information and from total ignorance as measures of information
Discontinuity, decision and conflict.
The motivation for this paper arises out of the authors experiences in modelling real decision makers where the decisions show not only a continuous response to a continuously changing environment but also sudden or discontinuous changes. The theoretical basis involves a parametric characterisation of the environment, a decision makers perception of it in terms of a twice differentiable Distribution Function and a bounded Loss Function. Under a specified minimizing dynamic, the resultant Expected...
Diseño muestral óptimo en el caso de no respuesta.
Se propone un modelo predictivo para analizar situaciones de no respuesta. El modelo es, en cierto sentido, secuencial y se describe desde la teoría de la decisión bayesiana. El modelo permite considerar opiniones y experiencia previa sobre la proporción de unidades que no responden al primer contacto, diferenciar y relacionar entre unidades que responden y unidades que no responden, costo de obtener información de las unidades que no respondieron, etc. Se analizan las decisiones referentes a seleccionar...
Efficiency rate and local deficiency of the most powerful tests in the model of contaminacy with general neighbourhoods
Einfache Begründung für die Irrtumswahrscheinlichkeitsschranke der HOMMEL'schen Mehrheitstestkombination.
Empiric Bayes Estimation of Hypergeometric Probability.
Empirical justification of the uncertain equivalence method
Equivalencia de problemas de decisión.
En este trabajo se introduce una definición de equivalencia de problemas de decisión. Los resultados y ejemplos que presentamos muestran que esta definición de equivalencia se adapta bien a la metodología de la estadística.
Error analysis of dynamical models in epidemiology.
Estimación bayesiana múltiple de un parámetro.
The problem to be analyzed in this paper deals with the finding of n values x1, x2, ..., xn ∈ R which minimize the function:E [míni=1,...,n c (ξ - xi)]where ξ is a one-dimensional random variable with known distribution function φ and c is a measurable and positive function.First, conditions on c in order to ensure the existence of a solution to this problem are determined. Next, necessary conditions to be satisfied by the point (x1, x2, ..., xn) in which the function attains the minimum are looked...
Estimating a discrete distribution via histogram selection
Our aim is to estimate the joint distribution of a finite sequence of independent categorical variables. We consider the collection of partitions into dyadic intervals and the associated histograms, and we select from the data the best histogram by minimizing a penalized least-squares criterion. The choice of the collection of partitions is inspired from approximation results due to DeVore and Yu. Our estimator satisfies a nonasymptotic oracle-type inequality and adaptivity properties in the minimax...
Estimating a discrete distribution via histogram selection
Our aim is to estimate the joint distribution of a finite sequence of independent categorical variables. We consider the collection of partitions into dyadic intervals and the associated histograms, and we select from the data the best histogram by minimizing a penalized least-squares criterion. The choice of the collection of partitions is inspired from approximation results due to DeVore and Yu. Our estimator satisfies a nonasymptotic oracle-type inequality and adaptivity properties in the minimax...