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Population Dynamics of Grayling: Modelling Temperature and Discharge Effects

S. Charles, J.-P. Mallet, H. Persat (2010)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

We propose a matrix population modelling approach in order to describe the dynamics of a grayling (Thymallus thymallus, L. 1758) population living in the Ain river (France). We built a Leslie like model, which integrates the climate changes in terms of temperature and discharge. First, we show how temperature and discharge can be related to life history traits like survival and reproduction. Second, we show how to use the population model to precisely examine the life cycle of grayling : estimated...

Pre-symptomatic Influenza Transmission, Surveillance, and School Closings: Implications for Novel Influenza A (H1N1)

G. F. Webb, Y-H. Hsieh, J. Wu, M. J. Blaser (2010)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

Early studies of the novel swine-origin 2009 influenza A (H1N1) epidemic indicate clinical attack rates in children much higher than in adults. Non-medical interventions such as school closings are constrained by their large socio-economic costs. Here we develop a mathematical model to ascertain the roles of pre-symptomatic influenza transmission as well as symptoms surveillance of children to assess the utility of school closures. Our model analysis...

Probabilistic interpretation and random walk on spheres algorithms for the Poisson-Boltzmann equation in molecular dynamics

Mireille Bossy, Nicolas Champagnat, Sylvain Maire, Denis Talay (2010)

ESAIM: Mathematical Modelling and Numerical Analysis

Motivated by the development of efficient Monte Carlo methods for PDE models in molecular dynamics, we establish a new probabilistic interpretation of a family of divergence form operators with discontinuous coefficients at the interface of two open subsets of d . This family of operators includes the case of the linearized Poisson-Boltzmann equation used to compute the electrostatic free energy of a molecule. More precisely, we explicitly construct a Markov process whose infinitesimal generator...

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