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Apollo 13 Risk Assessment Revisited

Bukovics, István (2007)

Serdica Journal of Computing

Fault tree methodology is the most widespread risk assessment tool by which one is able to predict - in principle - the outcome of an event whenever it is reduced to simpler ones by the logic operations conjunction and disjunction according to the basics of Boolean algebra. The object of this work is to present an algorithm by which, using the corresponding computer code, one is able to predict - in practice - the outcome of an event whenever its fault tree is given in the usual form.

Application of MCMC to change point detection

Jaromír Antoch, David Legát (2008)

Applications of Mathematics

A nonstandard approach to change point estimation is presented in this paper. Three models with random coefficients and Bayesian approach are used for modelling the year average temperatures measured in Prague Klementinum. The posterior distribution of the change point and other parameters are estimated from the random samples generated by the combination of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and the Gibbs sampler.

Approximated maximum likelihood estimation of parameters of discrete stable family

Lenka Slámová, Lev B. Klebanov (2014)

Kybernetika

In this article we propose a method of parameters estimation for the class of discrete stable laws. Discrete stable distributions form a discrete analogy to classical stable distributions and share many interesting properties with them such as heavy tails and skewness. Similarly as stable laws discrete stable distributions are defined through characteristic function and do not posses a probability mass function in closed form. This inhibits the use of classical estimation methods such as maximum...

Asymptotic unbiased density estimators

Nicolas W. Hengartner, Éric Matzner-Løber (2009)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

This paper introduces a computationally tractable density estimator that has the same asymptotic variance as the classical Nadaraya-Watson density estimator but whose asymptotic bias is zero. We achieve this result using a two stage estimator that applies a multiplicative bias correction to an oversmooth pilot estimator. Simulations show that our asymptotic results are available for samples as low as n = 50, where we see an improvement of as much as 20% over the traditionnal estimator.

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