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A Cost-Effectiveness-Assessing Model of Vaccination for Varicella and Zoster

M. Comba, S. Martorano-Raimundo, E. Venturino (2012)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

A decision analytical model is presented and analysed to assess the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of routine vaccination against varicella and herpes-zoster, or shingles. These diseases have as common aetiological agent the varicella-zoster virus (VZV). Zoster can more likely occur in aged people with declining cell-mediated immunity. The general concern is that universal varicella vaccination might lead to more cases of zoster: with more...

A Modeling Framework For Immune-related Diseases

F. Castiglione, S. Motta, F. Pappalardo, M. Pennisi (2012)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

About twenty five years ago the first discrete mathematical model of the immune system was proposed. It was very simple and stylized. Later, many other computational models have been proposed each one adding a certain level of sophistication and detail to the description of the system. One of these, the Celada-Seiden model published back in 1992, was already mature at its birth, setting apart from the topic-specific nature of the other models. This...

A New Mathematical Model of Syphilis

F. A. Milner, R. Zhao (2010)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

The CDC launched the National Plan to Eliminate Syphilis from the USA in October 1999 [4]. In order to reach this goal, a good understanding of the transmission dynamics of the disease is necessary. Based on a SIRS model Breban et al.  [3] provided some evidence that supports the feasibility of the plan proving that no recurring outbreaks should occur for syphilis. We study in this work a syphilis model that includes partial...

A within-host dengue infection model with immune response and nonlinear incidence rate

Hajar Ansari, Mahmoud Hesaaraki (2013)

Applicationes Mathematicae

A model of viral infection of monocytes population by the dengue virus is formulated as a system of four ordinary differential equations. The model takes into account the immune response and nonlinear incidence rate of susceptible and free virus particles. Global stability of the uninfected steady state is investigated. Such a steady state always exists. If it is the only steady state, then it is globally asymptotically stable. If any infected steady state exists, then the uninfected...

An Epidemic Model With Post-Contact Prophylaxis of Distributed Length II. Stability and Oscillations if Treatment is Fully Effective

H. R. Thieme, A. Tridane, Y. Kuang (2008)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

A possible control strategy against the spread of an infectious disease is the treatment with antimicrobials that are given prophylactically to those that had contact with an infective person. The treatment continues until recovery or until it becomes obvious that there was no infection in the first place. The model considers susceptible, treated uninfected exposed, treated infected, (untreated) infectious, and recovered individuals. The overly optimistic assumptions are made that treated uninfected...

An unconditionally positive and global stability preserving NSFD scheme for an epidemic model with vaccination

Deqiong Ding, Qiang Ma, Xiaohua Ding (2014)

International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science

In this paper, a NonStandard Finite Difference (NSFD) scheme is constructed, which can be used to determine numerical solutions for an epidemic model with vaccination. Here the NSFD method is employed to derive a set of difference equations for the epidemic model with vaccination. We show that difference equations have the same dynamics as the original differential system, such as the positivity of the solutions and the stability of the equilibria, without being restricted by the time step. Our...

Analysis of a Nonautonomous HIV/AIDS Model

G. P. Samanta (2010)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

In this paper we have considered a nonlinear and nonautonomous stage-structured HIV/AIDS epidemic model with an imperfect HIV vaccine, varying total population size and distributed time delay to become infectious due to intracellular delay between initial infection of a cell by HIV and the release of new virions. Here, we have established some sufficient conditions on the permanence and extinction of the disease by using inequality analytical technique....

Analysis of The Impact of Diabetes on The Dynamical Transmission of Tuberculosis

D.P. Moualeu, S. Bowong, J.J. Tewa, Y. Emvudu (2012)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major global health problem. A possible risk factor for TB is diabetes (DM), which is predicted to increase dramatically over the next two decades, particularly in low and middle income countries, where TB is widespread. This study aimed to assess the strength of the association between TB and DM. We present a deterministic model for TB in a community in order to determine the impact of DM in the spread of the disease....

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