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Deterministic Chaos vs. Stochastic Fluctuation in an Eco-epidemic Model

P.S. Mandal, M. Banerjee (2012)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

An eco-epidemiological model of susceptible Tilapia fish, infected Tilapia fish and Pelicans is investigated by several author based upon the work initiated by Chattopadhyay and Bairagi (Ecol. Model., 136, 103–112, 2001). In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of the same model by considering different parameters involved with the model as bifurcation parameters in details. Considering the intrinsic growth rate of susceptible Tilapia fish as bifurcation parameter, we demonstrate the period doubling...

Do Demographic and Disease Structures Affect the Recurrence of Epidemics ?

A. Castellazzo, A. Mauro, C. Volpe, E. Venturino (2012)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

In this paper we present an epidemic model affecting an age-structured population. We show by numerical simulations that this demographic structure can induce persistent oscillations in the epidemic. The model is then extended to encompass a stage-structured disease within an age-dependent population. In this case as well, persistent oscillations are observed in the infected as well as in the whole population.

Dynamics of Tuberculosis: The effect of Direct Observation Therapy Strategy (DOTS) in Nigeria

D. Okuonghae, A. Korobeinikov (2010)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

This paper presents mathematical models for tuberculosis and its dynamics under the implementation of the direct observation therapy strategy (DOTS) in Nigeria. The models establish conditions for the eradication of tuberculosis in Nigeria based on the fraction of detected infectious individuals placed under DOTS for treatment. Both numerical and qualitative analysis of the models were carried out and the effect of the fraction of detected cases of active TB on the various epidemiological classes...

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