The search session has expired. Please query the service again.
The search session has expired. Please query the service again.
In this paper we analyze the stochastic version of a minimalistic multi-strain model,
which captures essential differences between primary and secondary infections in dengue
fever epidemiology, and investigate the interplay between stochasticity, seasonality and
import. The introduction of stochasticity is needed to explain the fluctuations observed
in some of the available data sets, revealing a scenario where noise and complex
deterministic skeleton...
Seasonal forcing is identified as a key pattern generating mechanism in an
epidemic model of rabies dispersal. We reduce an established individual-based high-detail model
down to a deterministic conceptual model. The characteristic wave pattern characterized by
high densities of infected individuals is maintained throughout the reduction process. In our
model it is evident that seasonal forcing is the dominant factor that drives pattern formation.
In particular we show that seasonal forcing can...
We investigate the structure of
travelling waves for a model of a fungal disease propagating over
a vineyard. This model is based on a set of ODEs of the SIR-type
coupled with two reaction-diffusion equations describing the
dispersal of the spores produced by the fungus inside and over the
vineyard. An estimate of the biological parameters in the model
suggests to use a singular perturbation analysis. It allows us to
compute the speed and the profile of the travelling waves. The
analytical results...
Otázkami spojenými s testováním vzorků se v souvislosti s pandemií covid-19 začala zabývat i širší veřejnost. Jednou z otázek, která byla v souvislosti s testováním diskutována, byla i otázka tzv. poolování. Cílem předkládaného článku je představit jeden z matematických nástrojů -- oddělující systémy, který lze při spojování vzorků a jejich následném testování efektivně využít. Všechna odvození jsou realizována jen s využitím elementární matematiky tak, aby bylo možné dosažené výsledky nejen použít...
En esta nota se analizan dos modelos matemáticos deterministas planteados en problemas ecológicos causados por la introducción de nuevas especies en ambientes insulares heterogéneos. En el primero desarrollamos un modelo epidemológico con transmisión indirecta del virus por medio del ambiente. En el segundo se introduce un modelo específico de depredador-presa que exhibe la extinción en tiempo finito de las especies. Ambos modelos involucran sistemas de ecuaciones en derivadas parciales con interesantes...
Mechanisms contributing to the spread of avian influenza seem to be well identified, but
how their interplay led to the current worldwide spread pattern of H5N1 influenza is still unknown
due to the lack of effective global surveillance and relevant data. Here we develop some deterministic
models based on the transmission cycle and modes of H5N1 and focusing on the interaction
among poultry, wild birds and environment. Some of the model parameters are obtained from
existing literatures, and others...
For an SI type endemic model with one host and two parasite strains, we study the
stability of the endemic coexistence equilibrium, where the host and both parasite strains
are present. Our model, which is a system of three ordinary differential equations,
assumes complete cross-protection between the parasite strains and reduced fertility and
increased mortality of infected hosts. It also assumes that one parasite strain is
exclusively vertically...
Currently displaying 1 –
15 of
15