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Asymptotic sampling formulae for 𝛬 -coalescents

Julien Berestycki, Nathanaël Berestycki, Vlada Limic (2014)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

We present a robust method which translates information on the speed of coming down from infinity of a genealogical tree into sampling formulae for the underlying population. We apply these results to population dynamics where the genealogy is given by a 𝛬 -coalescent. This allows us to derive an exact formula for the asymptotic behavior of the site and allele frequency spectrum and the number of segregating sites, as the sample size tends to . Some of our results hold in the case of a general 𝛬 -coalescent...

Ballistic regime for random walks in random environment with unbounded jumps and Knudsen billiards

Francis Comets, Serguei Popov (2012)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

We consider a random walk in a stationary ergodic environment in , with unbounded jumps. In addition to uniform ellipticity and a bound on the tails of the possible jumps, we assume a condition of strong transience to the right which implies that there are no “traps.” We prove the law of large numbers with positive speed, as well as the ergodicity of the environment seen from the particle. Then, we consider Knudsen stochastic billiard with a drift in a random tube in d , d 3 , which serves as environment....

Behavior near the extinction time in self-similar fragmentations I : the stable case

Christina Goldschmidt, Bénédicte Haas (2010)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

The stable fragmentation with index of self-similarity α∈[−1/2, 0) is derived by looking at the masses of the subtrees formed by discarding the parts of a (1+α)−1–stable continuum random tree below height t, for t≥0. We give a detailed limiting description of the distribution of such a fragmentation, (F(t), t≥0), as it approaches its time of extinction, ζ. In particular, we show that t1/αF((ζ−t)+) converges in distribution as t→0 to a non-trivial limit. In order to prove this, we go further and...

Branching random motions, nonlinear hyperbolic systems and travellind waves

Nikita Ratanov (2006)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

A branching random motion on a line, with abrupt changes of direction, is studied. The branching mechanism, being independent of random motion, and intensities of reverses are defined by a particle's current direction. A solution of a certain hyperbolic system of coupled non-linear equations (Kolmogorov type backward equation) has a so-called McKean representation via such processes. Commonly this system possesses travelling-wave solutions. The convergence of solutions with Heaviside terminal...

Brownian penalisations related to excursion lengths, VII

B. Roynette, P. Vallois, M. Yor (2009)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

Limiting laws, as t→∞, for brownian motion penalised by the longest length of excursions up to t, or up to the last zero before t, or again, up to the first zero after t, are shown to exist, and are characterized.

Central limit theorem for hitting times of functionals of Markov jump processes

Christian Paroissin, Bernard Ycart (2004)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

A sample of i.i.d. continuous time Markov chains being defined, the sum over each component of a real function of the state is considered. For this functional, a central limit theorem for the first hitting time of a prescribed level is proved. The result extends the classical central limit theorem for order statistics. Various reliability models are presented as examples of applications.

Central limit theorem for hitting times of functionals of Markov jump processes

Christian Paroissin, Bernard Ycart (2010)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

A sample of i.i.d. continuous time Markov chains being defined, the sum over each component of a real function of the state is considered. For this functional, a central limit theorem for the first hitting time of a prescribed level is proved. The result extends the classical central limit theorem for order statistics. Various reliability models are presented as examples of applications.

Changing the branching mechanism of a continuous state branching process using immigration

Romain Abraham, Jean-François Delmas (2009)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

We consider an initial population whose size evolves according to a continuous state branching process. Then we add to this process an immigration (with the same branching mechanism as the initial population), in such a way that the immigration rate is proportional to the whole population size. We prove this continuous state branching process with immigration proportional to its own size is itself a continuous state branching process. By considering the immigration as the apparition of a new type,...

Chernoff and Berry–Esséen inequalities for Markov processes

Pascal Lezaud (2001)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

In this paper, we develop bounds on the distribution function of the empirical mean for general ergodic Markov processes having a spectral gap. Our approach is based on the perturbation theory for linear operators, following the technique introduced by Gillman.

Chernoff and Berry–Esséen inequalities for Markov processes

Pascal Lezaud (2010)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

In this paper, we develop bounds on the distribution function of the empirical mean for general ergodic Markov processes having a spectral gap. Our approach is based on the perturbation theory for linear operators, following the technique introduced by Gillman.

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