The paper deals with the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of a change point in a regression model where the regression function has two phases --- the first linear and the second quadratic. In the case when the linear coefficient after change is non-zero the limit distribution of the change point estimator is normal whereas it is non-normal if the linear coefficient is zero.
Recently Hušková (1998) has studied the least squares estimator of a change-point in gradually changing sequence supposing that the sequence increases (or decreases) linearly after the change-point. The present paper shows that the limit behavior of the change-point estimator for more complicated gradual changes is similar. The limit variance of the estimator can be easily calculated from the covariance function of a limit process.
A change-point problem is examined from a Bayesian viewpoint, under nonparametric hypotheses. A Ferguson-Dirichlet prior is chosen and the posterior distribution is computed for the change-point and for the unknown distribution functions.
Problems of making inferences about abrupt changes in the mechanism underlying a sequence of observations are considered in both retrospective and on-line contexts. Among the topics considered are the Lindisfarne scribes problem; switching straight lines; manoeuvering targets, and shifts of level or slope in linear time series models. Summary analyses of data obtained in studies of schizophrenic and kidney transplant patients are presented.
In this paper, we study the admissibility of linear estimator of regression coefficient in linear model under the extended balanced loss function (EBLF). The sufficient and necessary condition for linear estimators to be admissible are obtained respectively in homogeneous and non-homogeneous classes. Furthermore, we show that admissible linear estimator under the EBLF is a convex combination of the admissible linear estimator under the sum of square residuals and quadratic loss function.
In this paper we present a simulation study to analyze the behavior of the -divergence test statistics in the problem of goodness-of-fit for loglinear models with linear constraints and multinomial sampling. We pay special attention to the Rényi’s and -divergence measures.
Employing recently derived asymptotic representation of the least trimmed squares estimator, the combinations of the forecasts with constraints are studied. Under assumption of unbiasedness of individual forecasts it is shown that the combination without intercept and with constraint imposed on the estimate of regression coefficients that they sum to one, is better than others. A numerical example is included to support theoretical conclusions.
In extremal estimation theory the estimators are local or absolute extremes of functions defined on the cartesian product of the parameter by the sample space. Assuming that these functions converge uniformly, in a convenient stochastic way, to a limit function g, set estimators for the set ∇ of absolute maxima (minima) of g are obtained under the compactness assumption that ∇ is contained in a known compact U. A strongly consistent test is presented for this assumption. Moreover, when the true...
En este trabajo se propone un análisis de supervivencia basado en un modelo Gamma. Se obtienen las condiciones teóricas bajo las cuales dos funciones de supervivencia Gamma están estocásticamente ordenadas. Estos resultados se utilizan para proponer un método sencillo que permite comparar dos poblaciones cuando, a priori, se conoce que sus curvas de supervivencia están estocásticamente ordenadas. Los resultados se ejemplifican con el análisis de un banco de datos reales sobre tiempos de desempleo....