Die Bestimmung des ARMA Modells der stationären Zeitreihe
Die Schätzung des linearen Todesprozesses bei fehlerbehafteten Beobachtungen.
Diffusions with measurement errors. I. Local asymptotic normality
We consider a diffusion process which is observed at times for , each observation being subject to a measurement error. All errors are independent and centered gaussian with known variance . There is an unknown parameter within the diffusion coefficient, to be estimated. In this first paper the case when is indeed a gaussian martingale is examined: we can prove that the LAN property holds under quite weak smoothness assumptions, with an explicit limiting Fisher information. What is perhaps...
Diffusions with measurement errors. I. Local Asymptotic Normality
We consider a diffusion process X which is observed at times i/n for i = 0,1,...,n, each observation being subject to a measurement error. All errors are independent and centered Gaussian with known variance pn. There is an unknown parameter within the diffusion coefficient, to be estimated. In this first paper the case when X is indeed a Gaussian martingale is examined: we can prove that the LAN property holds under quite weak smoothness assumptions, with an explicit limiting Fisher information....
Diffusions with measurement errors. II. Optimal estimators
We consider a diffusion process which is observed at times for , each observation being subject to a measurement error. All errors are independent and centered gaussian with known variance . There is an unknown parameter to estimate within the diffusion coefficient. In this second paper we construct estimators which are asymptotically optimal when the process is a gaussian martingale, and we conjecture that they are also optimal in the general case.
Diffusions with measurement errors. II. Optimal estimators
We consider a diffusion process X which is observed at times i/n for i = 0,1,...,n, each observation being subject to a measurement error. All errors are independent and centered Gaussian with known variance pn. There is an unknown parameter to estimate within the diffusion coefficient. In this second paper we construct estimators which are asymptotically optimal when the process X is a Gaussian martingale, and we conjecture that they are also optimal in the general case.
Disaggregation of long memory processes on class.
Discrete sampling of an integrated diffusion process and parameter estimation of the diffusion coefficient
Discrete sampling of an integrated diffusion process and parameter estimation of the diffusion coefficient
Let (Xt) be a diffusion on the interval (l,r) and Δn a sequence of positive numbers tending to zero. We define Ji as the integral between iΔn and (i + 1)Δn of Xs. We give an approximation of the law of (J0,...,Jn-1) by means of a Euler scheme expansion for the process (Ji). In some special cases, an approximation by an explicit Gaussian ARMA(1,1) process is obtained. When Δn = n-1 we deduce from this expansion estimators of the diffusion coefficient of X based on (Ji). These estimators are shown...
Discrete time nonlinear filters with informative observations are stable.
Discrimination between nonstationary and nearly nonstationary processes, and its effect on forecasting
Discrimination between nonstationary and nearly nonstationary processes, and its effect on forecasting
Divergence Processes and Weak Convergence of Likelihood Ratio Processes
Divergences of Gauss-Markov random fields with application to statistical inference
Drift estimation from -mixing sequences.
Dynamic credibility with outliers and missing observations
In actuarial practice the credibility models must face the problem of outliers and missing observations. If using the -estimation principle from robust statistics in combination with Kalman filtering one obtains the solution of this problem that is acceptable in the numerical framework of the practical actuarial credibility. The credibility models are classified as static and dynamic in this paper and the shrinkage is used for the final ratemaking.
Econometric modeling at mixed frequencies.
Ecuaciones de la descomposición modal de procesos ARMA.
Los procesos estocásticos estacionarios, autorregresivos y de medias móviles (ARMA), han sido estudiados en diversos ámbitos durante las dos últimas décadas (p.e. Brockwell-Davis, 1987), y se han utilizado con éxito en aplicaciones muy diversas.Uno de los aspectos al que parece que no se ha prestado demasiada atención es la descomposición aditiva de estos procesos, asociando cada componente a un polo de la función de transferencia del modelo ARMA. Esta descomposición aditiva, que llamaremos descomposición...
Efficacités comparées de certaines méthodes de prédiction pour un ARMA perturbé
Efficiency of some algorithms for prediction in finite stationary time series
Important characteristics of any algorithm are its complexity and speed in real calculations. From this point of view, we analyze some algorithms for prediction in finite stationary time series. First, we review results developed by P. Bondon [1] and then, we derive the complexities of Levinson and a new algorithm. It is shown that the time needed for real calculations of predictions is proportional to the theoretical complexity of the algorithm. Some practical recommendations for the selection...