In order to develop a general criterion for proving strong consistency of estimators in Statistics of stochastic processes, we study an extension, to the continuous-time case, of the strong law of large numbers for discrete time square integrable martingales (e.g. Neveu, 1965, 1972). Applications to estimation in diffusion models are given.
The aim of this work is to analyze suitability of existing internet multimedia storage services to use as a covert (steganographic) transmission channel. After general overview we focus specifically on the YouTube service. In particular, we study the feasibility of the recently proposed new steganographic technique [6] of hiding information directly in the structure of the mp4-encoded video file. Our statistical analysis of the set of 1000 video files stored by this service show the practical limitations...
Discrete autoregressive process of the first order is considered. The process is observed at unequally spaced time instants. Both least squares estimate and maximum likelihood estimate of the autocorrelation coefficient are analyzed. We show some dangers related with the estimates when the true value of the autocorrelation coefficient is small. Monte-Carlo method is used to illustrate the problems.
A survey of some recent results on nonparametric on-line estimation is presented. The first result deals with an on-line estimation for a smooth signal S(t) in the classic 'signal plus Gaussian white noise' model. Then an analogous on-line estimator for the regression estimation problem with equidistant design is described and justified. Finally some preliminary results related to the on-line estimation for the diffusion observed process are described.
In this paper we analyse a class of DASP (Digital Alias-free Signal Processing) methods for spectrum estimation of sampled signals. These methods consist in sampling the processed signals at randomly selected time instants. We construct estimators of Fourier transforms of the analysed signals. The estimators are unbiased inside arbitrarily wide frequency ranges, regardless of how sparsely the signal samples are collected. In order to facilitate quality assessment of the estimators, we calculate...
This work deals with a general problem of testing multiple hypotheses about the distribution of a discrete-time stochastic process. Both the Bayesian and the conditional settings are considered. The structure of optimal sequential tests is characterized.
In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does not exceed some given bound. We characterize the form of optimal sequential stopping rules in this problem. In particular, we have a characterization of the form of optimal sequential decision procedures when the Bayesian risk includes both the loss due to incorrect...
In the general geometric asset price model, the asset price P(t) at time t satisfies the relation , t ∈ [0,T], where f is a deterministic trend function, the stochastic process F describes the random fluctuations of the market, α is the trend coefficient, and σ denotes the volatility. The paper examines the problem of optimal trend estimation by utilizing the concept of kernel reproducing Hilbert spaces. It characterizes the class of trend functions with the property that the trend coefficient...