Estimating the conditional tail expectation in the case of heavy-tailed losses.
Estimation of a Regression Function on a Point Process and its Application to Financial Ruin Risk Forecast
2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary 60G55; secondary 60G25.We estimate a regression function on a point process by the Tukey regressogram method in a general setting and we give an application in the case of a Risk Process. We show among other things that, in classical Poisson model with parameter r, if W is the amount of the claim with finite espectation E(W) = m, Sn (resp. Rn) the accumulated interval waiting time for successive claims (resp. the aggregate claims amount) up to the...
Estimation of hidden Markov models for a partially observed risk sensitive control problem
This paper provides a summary of our recent work on the problem of combined estimation and control of systems described by finite state, hidden Markov models. We establish the stochastic framework for the problem, formulate a separated control policy with risk-sensitive cost functional, describe an estimation scheme for the parameters of the hidden Markov model that describes the plant, and finally indicate how the combined estimation and control problem can be re-formulated in a framework that...
Evaluating Total Operational Value and Associated Risks of Financial Holding Companies in Taiwan
Extremal moment methods and stochastic orders.