O mathematické a morální naději. [IV.]
On a class of risk processes with barriers and random incomes.
On a New Form of Life Assurance
On certain Markov processes attached to exponential functionals of Brownian motion: application to Asian options.
We obtain a closed formula for the Laplace transform of the first moment of certain exponential functionals of Brownian motion with drift, which gives the price of Asian options. The proof relies on an identity in law between the average on [0,t] of a geometric Brownian motion and the value at time t of a Markov process, for which we can compute explicitly the resolvent.
On Conditional Value at Risk (CoVaR) for tail-dependent copulas
The paper deals with Conditional Value at Risk (CoVaR) for copulas with nontrivial tail dependence. We show that both in the standard and the modified settings, the tail dependence function determines the limiting properties of CoVaR as the conditioning event becomes more extreme. The results are illustrated with examples using the extreme value, conic and truncation invariant families of bivariate tail-dependent copulas.
On optimal credibility premiums in multiperiod insurance
This paper focuses on the problem of optimal arrangement of a stream of premiums in a multiperiod credibility model. On the basis of a given claim history (screening) and some individual information unknown to the insurance company (signaling), we derive the optimal streams in the case when the coverage period is not necessarily fixed, e.g., because of lapses, renewals, deaths, total losses, etc.
On risk reserve under distribution constraints
The purpose of this work is a study of the following insurance reserve model: , t ∈ [0,T], P(η ≥ c) ≥ 1-ϵ, ϵ ≥ 0. Under viability-type assumptions on a pair (p,σ) the estimation γ with the property: is considered.
On some joint-life annuities
On some layer-based risk measures with applications to exponential dispersion models.
On suprema of Lévy processes and application in risk theory
Let X̂=C−Y where Y is a general one-dimensional Lévy process and C an independent subordinator. Consider the times when a new supremum of X̂ is reached by a jump of the subordinator C. We give a necessary and sufficient condition in order for such times to be discrete. When this is the case and X̂ drifts to −∞, we decompose the absolute supremum of X̂ at these times, and derive a Pollaczek–Hinchin-type formula for the distribution function of the supremum.
On the economic risk capital of portfolio insurance.
On the optimal reinsurance problem
In this paper we consider the optimal reinsurance problem in endogenous form with respect to general convex risk measures ϱ and pricing rules π. By means of a subdifferential formula for compositions in Banach spaces we first characterize optimal reinsurance contracts in the case of one insurance taker and one insurer. In the second step we generalize the characterization to the case of several insurance takers. As a consequence we obtain a result saying that cooperation brings less risk compared...
On the probability of reaching a barrier in an Erlang(2) risk process.
In this paper the process of aggregated claims in a non-life insurance portfolio as defined in the classical model of risk theory is modified. The Compound Poisson process is replaced with a more general renewal risk process with interocurrence times of Erlangian type. We focus our analysis on the probability that the process of surplus reaches a certain level before ruin occurs, χ(u,b). Our main contribution is the generalization obtained in the computation of χ(u,b) for the case of interocurrence...
On the risk-adjusted pricing-methodology-based valuation of vanilla options and explanation of the volatility smile.
On uniform tail expansions of multivariate copulas and wide convergence of measures
The theory of copulas provides a useful tool for modeling dependence in risk management. In insurance and finance, as well as in other applications, dependence of extreme events is particularly important, hence there is a need for a detailed study of the tail behaviour of multivariate copulas. We investigate the class of copulas having regular tails with a uniform expansion. We present several equivalent characterizations of uniform tail expansions. Next, basing on them, we determine the class of...
Optimal investment strategy for a non-life insurance company: quadratic loss
The aim of this paper is to construct an optimal investment strategy for a non-life insurance business. We consider an insurance company which provides, in exchange for a single premium, full coverage to a portfolio of risks which generates losses according to a compound Poisson process. The insurer invests the premium and trades continuously on the financial market which consists of one risk-free asset and n risky assets (Black-Scholes market). We deal with the insurer's wealth path dependent disutility...
Optimal premium pricing for a heterogeneous portfolio of insurance risks.
Optimal reinsurance.
Optimal risk sharing as a cooperative game
The problem of choosing an optimal insurance policy for an individual has recently been better understood, particularly due to the papers by Gajek and Zagrodny. In this paper we study its multi-agent version: we assume that insureds cooperate with one another to maximize their utility function. They create coalitions by bringing their risks to the pool and purchasing a common insurance contract. The resulting outcome is divided according to a certain rule called strategy. We address the fundamental...
Optimal stopping of a 2-vector risk process
The following problem in risk theory is considered. An insurance company, endowed with an initial capital a > 0, receives insurance premiums and pays out successive claims from two kind of risks. The losses occur according to a marked point process. At any time the company may broaden or narrow down the offer, which entails the change of the parameters of the underlying risk process. These changes concern the rate of income, the intensity of the renewal process and the distribution of claims....