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Non-parametric approximation of non-anticipativity constraints in scenario-based multistage stochastic programming

Jean-Sébastien Roy, Arnaud Lenoir (2008)

Kybernetika

We propose two methods to solve multistage stochastic programs when only a (large) finite set of scenarios is available. The usual scenario tree construction to represent non-anticipativity constraints is replaced by alternative discretization schemes coming from non-parametric estimation ideas. In the first method, a penalty term is added to the objective so as to enforce the closeness between decision variables and the Nadaraya–Watson estimation of their conditional expectation. A numerical application...

Notes on free lunch in the limit and pricing by conjugate duality theory

Alena Henclová (2006)

Kybernetika

King and Korf [KingKorf01] introduced, in the framework of a discrete- time dynamic market model on a general probability space, a new concept of arbitrage called free lunch in the limit which is slightly weaker than the common free lunch. The definition was motivated by the attempt at proposing the pricing theory based on the theory of conjugate duality in optimization. We show that this concept of arbitrage fails to have a basic property of other common concepts used in pricing theory – it depends...

Numerical study of discretizations of multistage stochastic programs

Petri Hilli, Teemu Pennanen (2008)

Kybernetika

This paper presents a numerical study of a deterministic discretization procedure for multistage stochastic programs where the underlying stochastic process has a continuous probability distribution. The discretization procedure is based on quasi-Monte Carlo techniques originally developed for numerical multivariate integration. The solutions of the discretized problems are evaluated by statistical bounds obtained from random sample average approximations and out-of-sample simulations. In the numerical...

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