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Long memory properties and covariance structure of the EGARCH model

Donatas Surgailis, Marie-Claude Viano (2002)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

The EGARCH model of Nelson [29] is one of the most successful ARCH models which may exhibit characteristic asymmetries of financial time series, as well as long memory. The paper studies the covariance structure and dependence properties of the EGARCH and some related stochastic volatility models. We show that the large time behavior of the covariance of powers of the (observed) ARCH process is determined by the behavior of the covariance of the (linear) log-volatility process; in particular, a...

Long memory properties and covariance structure of the EGARCH model

Donatas Surgailis, Marie-Claude Viano (2010)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

The EGARCH model of Nelson [29] is one of the most successful ARCH models which may exhibit characteristic asymmetries of financial time series, as well as long memory. The paper studies the covariance structure and dependence properties of the EGARCH and some related stochastic volatility models. We show that the large time behavior of the covariance of powers of the (observed) ARCH process is determined by the behavior of the covariance of the (linear) log-volatility process; in particular,...

Loop-free Markov chains as determinantal point processes

Alexei Borodin (2008)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

We show that any loop-free Markov chain on a discrete space can be viewed as a determinantal point process. As an application, we prove central limit theorems for the number of particles in a window for renewal processes and Markov renewal processes with Bernoulli noise.

Lower large deviations and laws of large numbers for maximal flows through a box in first passage percolation

Raphaël Rossignol, Marie Théret (2010)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

We consider the standard first passage percolation model in ℤd for d≥2. We are interested in two quantities, the maximal flow τ between the lower half and the upper half of the box, and the maximal flow ϕ between the top and the bottom of the box. A standard subadditive argument yields the law of large numbers for τ in rational directions. Kesten and Zhang have proved the law of large numbers for τ and ϕ when the sides of the box are parallel to the coordinate hyperplanes: the two variables grow...

Lower large deviations for the maximal flow through tilted cylinders in two-dimensional first passage percolation

Raphaël Rossignol, Marie Théret (2013)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

Equip the edges of the lattice ℤ2 with i.i.d. random capacities. A law of large numbers is known for the maximal flow crossing a rectangle in ℝ2 when the side lengths of the rectangle go to infinity. We prove that the lower large deviations are of surface order, and we prove the corresponding large deviation principle from below. This extends and improves previous large deviations results of Grimmett and Kesten [9] obtained for boxes of particular orientation.

Markov chains approximation of jump–diffusion stochastic master equations

Clément Pellegrini (2010)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

Quantum trajectories are solutions of stochastic differential equations obtained when describing the random phenomena associated to quantum continuous measurement of open quantum system. These equations, also called Belavkin equations or Stochastic Master equations, are usually of two different types: diffusive and of Poisson-type. In this article, we consider more advanced models in which jump–diffusion equations appear. These equations are obtained as a continuous time limit of martingale problems...

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