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The knowledge of causal relations provides a possibility to perform predictions and helps to decide about the most reasonable actions aiming at the desired objectives. Although the causal reasoning appears to be natural for the human thinking, most of the traditional statistical methods fail to address this issue. One of the well-known methodologies correctly representing the relations of cause and effect is Pearl's causality approach. The paper brings an alternative, purely algebraic methodology...
Let G be a locally compact Polish group with an invariant metric. We provide sufficient and necessary conditions for the existence of a compact set A ⊆ G and a sequence such that for all n. It is noticed that such measures μ form a meager subset of all probabilities on G in the weak measure topology. If for some k the convolution power has nontrivial absolutely continuous component then a similar characterization is obtained for any locally compact, σ-compact, unimodular, Hausdorff topological...
Let be a Polish group with an invariant metric. We characterize those probability measures on so that there exist a sequence and a compact set with for all .
The paper deals with Conditional Value at Risk (CoVaR) for copulas with nontrivial tail dependence. We show that both in the standard and the modified settings, the tail dependence function determines the limiting properties of CoVaR as the conditioning event becomes more extreme. The results are illustrated with examples using the extreme value, conic and truncation invariant families of bivariate tail-dependent copulas.
An integral representation theorem is proved. Each continuous function from a totally disconnected compact space to the probability measures on a complete metric space is shown to be the resolvent of a probability measure on the space of continuous functions from to .
Part II of the paper aims at providing conditions which may serve as a bridge between existing stability assertions and asymptotic results in probability theory and statistics. Special emphasis is put on functions that are expectations with respect to random probability measures. Discontinuous integrands are also taken into account. The results are illustrated applying them to functions that represent probabilities.
Continuous convergence and epi-convergence of sequences of random functions are crucial assumptions if mathematical programming problems are approximated on the basis of estimates or via sampling. The paper investigates “almost surely” and “in probability” versions of these convergence notions in more detail. Part I of the paper presents definitions and theoretical results and Part II is focused on sufficient conditions which apply to many models for statistical estimation and stochastic optimization....
In this paper, some new results on complete convergence and complete moment convergence for sequences of pairwise negatively quadrant dependent random variables are presented. These results improve the corresponding theorems of S. X. Gan, P. Y. Chen (2008) and H. Y. Liang, C. Su (1999).
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