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Penalisations of multidimensional Brownian motion, VI

Bernard Roynette, Pierre Vallois, Marc Yor (2009)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

As in preceding papers in which we studied the limits of penalized 1-dimensional Wiener measures with certain functionals Γt, we obtain here the existence of the limit, as t → ∞, of d-dimensional Wiener measures penalized by a function of the maximum up to time t of the Brownian winding process (for d = 2), or in {d}≥ 2 dimensions for Brownian motion prevented to exit a cone before time t. Various extensions of these multidimensional penalisations are studied, and the limit laws are described....

Penalized estimators for non linear inverse problems

Jean-Michel Loubes, Carenne Ludeña (2010)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

In this article we tackle the problem of inverse non linear ill-posed problems from a statistical point of view. We discuss the problem of estimating an indirectly observed function, without prior knowledge of its regularity, based on noisy observations. For this we consider two approaches: one based on the Tikhonov regularization procedure, and another one based on model selection methods for both ordered and non ordered subsets. In each case we prove consistency of the estimators and show...

Penultimate approximation for the distribution of the excesses

Rym Worms (2002)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

Let F be a distribution function (d.f) in the domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution H γ ; it is well-known that F u ( x ) , where F u is the d.f of the excesses over u , converges, when u tends to s + ( F ) , the end-point of F , to G γ ( x σ ( u ) ) , where G γ is the d.f. of the Generalized Pareto Distribution. We provide conditions that ensure that there exists, for γ > - 1 , a function Λ which verifies lim u s + ( F ) Λ ( u ) = γ and is such that Δ ( u ) = sup x [ 0 , s + ( F ) - u [ | F ¯ u ( x ) - G ¯ Λ ( u ) ( x / σ ( u ) ) | converges to 0 faster than d ( u ) = sup x [ 0 , s + ( F ) - u [ | F ¯ u ( x ) - G ¯ γ ( x / σ ( u ) ) | .

Penultimate approximation for the distribution of the excesses

Rym Worms (2010)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

Let F be a distribution function (d.f) in the domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution H γ ; it is well-known that Fu(x), where Fu is the d.f of the excesses over u, converges, when u tends to s+(F), the end-point of F, to G γ ( x σ ( u ) ) , where G γ is the d.f. of the Generalized Pareto Distribution. We provide conditions that ensure that there exists, for γ > - 1 , a function Λ which verifies lim u s + ( F ) Λ ( u ) = γ and is such that Δ ( u ) = sup x [ 0 , s + ( F ) - u [ | F ¯ u ( x ) - G ¯ Λ ( u ) ( x / σ ( u ) ) | converges to 0 faster than d ( u ) = sup x [ 0 , s + ( F ) - u [ | F ¯ u ( x ) - G ¯ γ ( x / σ ( u ) ) | .

Performance of hedging strategies in interval models

Berend Roorda, Jacob Engwerda, Johannes M. Schumacher (2005)

Kybernetika

For a proper assessment of risks associated with the trading of derivatives, the performance of hedging strategies should be evaluated not only in the context of the idealized model that has served as the basis of strategy development, but also in the context of other models. In this paper we consider the class of so-called interval models as a possible testing ground. In the context of such models the fair price of a derivative contract is not uniquely determined and we characterize the interval...

Persistence of iterated partial sums

Amir Dembo, Jian Ding, Fuchang Gao (2013)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

Let S n ( 2 ) denote the iterated partial sums. That is, S n ( 2 ) = S 1 + S 2 + + S n , where S i = X 1 + X 2 + + X i . Assuming X 1 , X 2 , ... , X n are integrable, zero-mean, i.i.d. random variables, we show that the persistence probabilities p n ( 2 ) : = max 1 i n S i ( 2 ) l t ; 0 c 𝔼 | S n + 1 | ( n + 1 ) 𝔼 | X 1 | , with c 6 30 (and c = 2 whenever X 1 is symmetric). The converse inequality holds whenever the non-zero min ( - X 1 , 0 ) is bounded or when it has only finite third moment and in addition X 1 is squared integrable. Furthermore, p n ( 2 ) n - 1 / 4 for any non-degenerate squared integrable, i.i.d., zero-mean X i . In contrast, we show that for any 0 l t ; γ l t ; 1 / 4 there exist integrable, zero-mean...

Perturbing the hexagonal circle packing: a percolation perspective

Itai Benjamini, Alexandre Stauffer (2013)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

We consider the hexagonal circle packing with radius 1 / 2 and perturb it by letting the circles move as independent Brownian motions for time t . It is shown that, for large enough t , if 𝛱 t is the point process given by the center of the circles at time t , then, as t , the critical radius for circles centered at 𝛱 t to contain an infinite component converges to that of continuum percolation (which was shown – based on a Monte Carlo estimate – by Balister, Bollobás and Walters to be strictly bigger than...

Phénomène de cutoff pour certaines marches aléatoires sur le groupe symétrique

Sandrine Roussel (2000)

Colloquium Mathematicae

The main purpose of this paper is to exhibit the cutoff phenomenon, studied by Aldous and Diaconis [AD]. Let Q * k denote a transition kernel after k steps and π be a stationary measure. We have to find a critical value k n for which the total variation norm between Q * k and π stays very close to 1 for k k n , and falls rapidly to a value close to 0 for k k n with a fall-off phase much shorter than k n . According to the work of Diaconis and Shahshahani [DS], one can naturally conjecture, for a conjugacy class with...

Plurisubharmonic martingales and barriers in complex quasi-Banach spaces

Nassif Ghoussoub, Bernard Maurey (1989)

Annales de l'institut Fourier

We describe the geometrical structure on a complex quasi-Banach space X that is necessay and sufficient for the existence of boundary limits for bounded, X -valued analytic functions on the open unit disc of the complex plane. It is shown that in such spaces, closed bounded subsets have many plurisubharmonic barriers and that bounded upper semi-continuous functions on these sets have arbitrarily small plurisubharmonic perturbations that attain their maximum. This yields a certain representation of...

Poincaré inequalities and hitting times

Patrick Cattiaux, Arnaud Guillin, Pierre André Zitt (2013)

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

Equivalence of the spectral gap, exponential integrability of hitting times and Lyapunov conditions is well known. We give here the correspondence (with quantitative results) for reversible diffusion processes. As a consequence, we generalize results of Bobkov in the one dimensional case on the value of the Poincaré constant for log-concave measures to superlinear potentials. Finally, we study various functional inequalities under different hitting times integrability conditions (polynomial,…)....

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