Parameter identification of a class of economical models.
Parameters in collective decision making models : estimation and sensitivity
Simulation models for collective decision making are based on theoretical and empirical insight in the decision making process, but still contain a number of parameters of which the values are determined ad hoc. For the dynamic access model, some of such parameters are discussed, and it is proposed to extend the utility functions with a random term of which the variance also is an unknown parameter. These parameters can be estimated by fitting model predictions to data, where the predictions can...
Pareto optimality in the kidney exchange problem
To overcome the shortage of cadaveric kidneys available for transplantation, several countries organize systematic kidney exchange programs. The kidney exchange problem can be modelled as a cooperative game between incompatible patient-donor pairs whose solutions are permutations of players representing cyclic donations. We show that the problems to decide whether a given permutation is not (weakly) Pareto optimal are NP-complete.
Piecewise solutions of evolutionary variational inequalities. Application to double-layered dynamics modelling of equilibrium problems.
Plug-in estimation of level sets in a non-compact setting with applications in multivariate risk theory
This paper deals with the problem of estimating the level sets L(c) = {F(x) ≥ c}, with c ∈ (0,1), of an unknown distribution function F on ℝ+2. A plug-in approach is followed. That is, given a consistent estimator Fn of F, we estimate L(c) by Ln(c) = {Fn(x) ≥ c}. In our setting, non-compactness property is a priori required for the level sets to estimate. We state consistency results with respect to the Hausdorff distance and the volume of the symmetric difference. Our results are motivated by...
Poisson random sums of present Values of Continuous Uniform cash flows
Population growth and the environment: Can we eat the cake and have it?
Porosity and models with discrete innovations.
Poset-valued preference relations
In decision processes some objects may not be comparable with respect to a preference relation, especially if several criteria are considered. To provide a model for such cases a poset valued preference relation is introduced as a fuzzy relation on a set of alternatives with membership values in a partially ordered set. We analyze its properties and prove the representation theorem in terms of particular order reversing involution on the co-domain poset. We prove that for every set of alternatives...
POT-based estimation of the renewal function of interoccurrence times of heavy-tailed risks.
Pour un schéma de lecture des modèles économiques complexes application à Mini-DMS
Poverty measures and poverty orderings.
We examine the conditions under which unanimous poverty rankings of income distributions can be obtained for a general class of poverty indices. The "per-capita income gap" and the Shorrocks and Thon poverty measures are particular members of this class. The conditions of dominance are stated in terms of comparisons of the corresponding TIP curves and areas.
Power analysis of voting by count and account
Using players’ Shapley–Shubik power indices, Peleg [4] proved that voting by count and account is more egalitarian than voting by account. In this paper, we show that a stronger shift in power takes place when the voting power of players is measured by their Shapley–Shubik indices. Moreover, we prove that analogous power shifts also occur with respect to the absolute Banzhaf and the absolute Johnston power indices.
Preference numbers and funnel dimension
Préférences et rationalité stochastiques
Le but de cet article est de procéder à une présentation pédagogique d'un concept étendu de rationalité, la rationalité stochastique. Dans une première partie, nous exposons le problème à l'aide d'un exemple simple et posons un ensemble de définitions préliminaires. Puis, dans une seconde partie, nous présentons le résultat fondamental de Falmagne (1978) s'appliquant aux situations de choix multiples ; l'approche ensembliste de cet auteur est formalisée à partir du concept de polynômes de Block-Marschak...
Préférences stochastiques
Premium evaluation for different loss distributions using utility theory
For any insurance contract to be mutually advantageous to the insurer and the insured, premium setting is an important task for an actuary. The maximum premium ( that an insured is willing to pay can be determined using utility theory. The main focus of this paper is to determine by considering different forms of the utility function. The loss random variable is assumed to follow different Statistical distributions viz Gamma, Beta, Exponential, Pareto, Weibull, Lognormal and Burr. The theoretical...
Pricing and revenue management: present and trends.
Pricing bonds and CDS in the model with rating migration induced by a Cox process
We investigate the properties of a rating migration process assuming that it is given by subordination of a discrete time Markov chain and a Cox process. The problem of pricing of defaultable bonds with fractional recovery of par value with rating migration and credit default swaps is considered. As an example of applications of our results, we give an explicit solution to the pricing problem in a model with short rate and intensity processes given by the solution of a two-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck...
Pricing equity-indexed annuities under stochastic interest rates using copulas.