La propriété de représentation prévisible dans la filtration naturelle d'un ensemble régénératif
To establish lists of words with unexpected frequencies in long sequences, for instance in a molecular biology context, one needs to quantify the exceptionality of families of word frequencies in random sequences. To this aim, we study large deviation probabilities of multidimensional word counts for Markov and hidden Markov models. More specifically, we compute local Edgeworth expansions of arbitrary degrees for multivariate partial sums of lattice valued functionals of finite Markov...
Consider an irreducible, aperiodic and positive recurrent discrete time Markov chain (Xn,n ≥ 0) with invariant distribution μ. We shall investigate the long time behaviour of some functionals of the chain, in particular the additive functional S n = ∑ i = 1 n f ( X i ) for a possibly non square integrable functionf. To this end we shall link ergodic properties of the chain to mixing properties, extending known results in the continuous time case. We will then use existing results of convergence...
Let be a discrete or continuous-time Markov process with state space where is an arbitrary measurable set. Its transition semigroup is assumed to be additive with respect to the second component, i.e. is assumed to be a Markov additive process. In particular, this implies that the first component is also a Markov process. Markov random walks or additive functionals of a Markov process are special instances of Markov additive processes. In this paper, the process is shown to satisfy the...
We obtain a local limit theorem for the laws of a class of Brownian additive functionals and we apply this result to a penalisation problem. We study precisely the case of the additive functional: . On the other hand, we describe Feynman-Kac type penalisation results for long Brownian bridges thus completing some similar previous study for standard Brownian motion (see [B. Roynette, P. Vallois and M. Yor, Studia Sci. Math. Hung.43 (2006) 171–246]).
A general theory is developed for the projection of martingale related processes onto smaller filtrations, to which they are not even adapted. Martingales, supermartingales, and semimartingales retain their nature, but the case of local martingales is more delicate, as illustrated by an explicit case study for the inverse Bessel process. This has implications for the concept of No Free Lunch with Vanishing Risk, in Finance.